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Trading ended on Sep 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Alex Palou72.8%75%72.8% fair75¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Alex Palou72.8%Kalshi 75%(72.8% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Alex Palou
72.8%
75%
72.8% fair
75¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Alex Palou
72.8%
Kalshi 75%(72.8% fair)polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Palou
- Last price
- 75%
- Fair, margin removed
- 72.8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $39K
David Malukas1.9%2%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)David Malukas1.9%Kalshi 2%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
David Malukas
1.9%
2%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
David Malukas
1.9%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- David Malukas
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $17K
Felix Rosenqvist1.9%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Felix Rosenqvist1.9%Kalshi 2%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Felix Rosenqvist
1.9%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Felix Rosenqvist
1.9%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Felix Rosenqvist
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $10K
Josef Newgarden1.9%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Josef Newgarden1.9%Kalshi 2%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Josef Newgarden
1.9%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Josef Newgarden
1.9%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josef Newgarden
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $17K
Pato O’Ward1.9%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Pato O’Ward1.9%Kalshi 2%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pato O’Ward
1.9%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pato O’Ward
1.9%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pato O’Ward
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $14K
Alexander Rossi1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Alexander Rossi1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alexander Rossi
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Alexander Rossi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander Rossi
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $9K
Caio Collet1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Caio Collet1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Caio Collet
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Caio Collet
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caio Collet
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $184
Christian Lundgaard1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Christian Lundgaard1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christian Lundgaard
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christian Lundgaard
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Lundgaard
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10K
Christian Rasmussen1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Christian Rasmussen1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christian Rasmussen
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christian Rasmussen
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Rasmussen
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Dennis Hauger1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dennis Hauger1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dennis Hauger
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dennis Hauger
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dennis Hauger
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $440
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Graham Rahal1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Graham Rahal1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Graham Rahal
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Graham Rahal
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Graham Rahal
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kyffin Simpson1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kyffin Simpson1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kyffin Simpson
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kyffin Simpson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyffin Simpson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $34
Kyle Kirkwood1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Kyle Kirkwood1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kyle Kirkwood
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kyle Kirkwood
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Kirkwood
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $16K
Louis Foster1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Louis Foster1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Louis Foster
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Louis Foster
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Louis Foster
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $167
Marcus Armstrong1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Marcus Armstrong1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcus Armstrong
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcus Armstrong
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcus Armstrong
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Marcus Ericsson1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Marcus Ericsson1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcus Ericsson
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcus Ericsson
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcus Ericsson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $9K
Mick Schumacher1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mick Schumacher1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mick Schumacher
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mick Schumacher
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mick Schumacher
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Nolan Siegel1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nolan Siegel1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nolan Siegel
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nolan Siegel
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nolan Siegel
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $260
Rinus Veekay1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Rinus Veekay1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rinus Veekay
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rinus Veekay
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rinus Veekay
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $574
Romain Grosjean1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Romain Grosjean1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Romain Grosjean
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Romain Grosjean
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Romain Grosjean
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Santino Ferrucci1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Santino Ferrucci1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Santino Ferrucci
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Santino Ferrucci
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Santino Ferrucci
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $15K
Scott Dixon0.9%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Scott Dixon0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Scott Dixon
0.9%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Scott Dixon
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Scott Dixon
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Scott McLaughlin0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Scott McLaughlin0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Scott McLaughlin
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Scott McLaughlin
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Scott McLaughlin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $14K
Sting Ray Robb0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sting Ray Robb0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sting Ray Robb
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sting Ray Robb
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sting Ray Robb
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $963
Will Will Power be the NTT IndyCar Series Champion?0.9%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3032 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Will Will Power be the NTT IndyCar Series Champion?0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Will Will Power be the NTT IndyCar Series Champion?
0.9%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3032 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Will Will Power be the NTT IndyCar Series Champion?
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3032 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Will Will Power be the NTT IndyCar Series Champion?
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Alex Palou
- David Malukas
- Felix Rosenqvist
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "NTT IndyCar Series Champion". Alex Palou last traded at 72.8%. Next is David Malukas at 1.9%. $200K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Sep 13, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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