The Prediction Markets

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in August 2027

Closes
Sep 1, 2027, in 10 months
Traded
$5K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above $2.50 97%

Next is Above $3.00 at 92%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above $2.50
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.50
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Volume
$852
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.00
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.00
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$151
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.00
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.00
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Volume
$850
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.50
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.50
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$276
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.00
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.00
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$401
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.00
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.00
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.50
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.50
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$349
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.50
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.50
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $6.50
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6.50
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$69
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $6.00
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6.00
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Above $7.00
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $7.00
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$290
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $7.50
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $7.50
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$150
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $8.00
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $8.00
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$270
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $8.50
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 31s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $8.50
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$475
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $9.00
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $9.00
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$913
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Ornn

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above $2.50
  • Above $3.00
  • Above $2.00

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in August 2027". Above $2.50 leads at 97%. Next is Above $3.00 at 92%. $5K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Sep 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More economics markets

See all economics markets