The Prediction Markets

NYC: Mayor’s Municipal Madness Winner

Closed
Apr 4, 2026
Traded
$92K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 4, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 195 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Clean up illegal dumping (Soundview)
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Clean up illegal dumping (Soundview)
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Polymarket
Resurface a basketball court (Morrisania)
36.3%
Polymarket 36.3%polled, 4703 h agoBest Yes 69.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $144 (1.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Resurface a basketball court (Morrisania)
Last price
36.3%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
69.3¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$144 (1.44x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 2 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Clean up illegal dumping (Soundview)
  • Resurface a basketball court (Morrisania)

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "NYC: Mayor’s Municipal Madness Winner". Clean up illegal dumping (Soundview) last traded at 41.5%. Next is Resurface a basketball court (Morrisania) at 36.3%. $92K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 4, 2026.

This market will resolve in favor of the repair that is officially announced as the winner of New York City Mayor’s Municipal Madness. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed repair to be voted as the winner of the 2026 edition of Mayor’s Municipal Madness (e.g. it is not voted the winner in a given matchup), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If multiple repairs are declared the winner of the 2026 edition of Mayor’s Municipal Madness, this market will resolve in favor of the listed neighborhood or park receiving a repair that is listed first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the City of New York (https://www.nyc.gov/main/municipal-madness); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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