The Prediction Markets

Oaxaca vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo: Spread

Starts in 1 h 4 minKickoff
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

O/U 0.5 95%

Next is Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 2.5 at 83%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
O/U 0.5
95%
Polymarket 95%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 0.5
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 2.5
83%
Polymarket 83%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 0.5
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 1.5
81%
Polymarket 81%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 1.5
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 0.5
74.5%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 0.5
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 0.5
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 0.5
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Both Teams to Score
60%
Polymarket 60%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Both Teams to Score
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5
58.5%
Polymarket 58.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5
Last price
58.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$455
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 2.5
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 1.5
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (-4.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (-4.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 43 more outcomes
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (-5.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (-5.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo (-5.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo (-5.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$270
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 2.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 97.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 5.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 4.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 97.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 4.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC 1st Half O/U 3.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo (-4.5)
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo (-4.5)
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1st Half O/U 3.5
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1st Half O/U 3.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 5.5
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 5.5
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 4.5
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 4.5
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1st Half O/U 3.5
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1st Half O/U 0.5
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 1.5
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 1.5
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 1.5
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 1.5
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 3.5
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 3.5
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Polymarket
Oaxaca wins by more than 1.5 goals
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oaxaca wins by more than 1.5 goals
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$804
Trade this on Kalshi
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (-1.5)
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (-1.5)
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 2.5
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 2.5
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 3.5
24.8%
Polymarket 24.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 49.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $202 (2.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 3.5
Last price
24.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$202 (2.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC vs. Cruz Azul Hidalgo)
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC vs. Cruz Azul Hidalgo)
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$576
Trade this on Polymarket
Both Teams to Score in First Half
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Both Teams to Score in First Half
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1st Half O/U 3.5
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1st Half O/U 1.5
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 4.5
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 4.5
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st Half O/U 2.5
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 2.5
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 2.5
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo O/U 2.5
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo wins by more than 2.5 goals
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo wins by more than 1.5 goals
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$830
Trade this on Kalshi
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (-2.5)
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (-2.5)
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo (-1.5)
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo (-1.5)
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Oaxaca wins by more than 2.5 goals
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oaxaca wins by more than 2.5 goals
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$611
Trade this on Kalshi
1st Half O/U 3.5
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st Half O/U 3.5
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC 1st Half O/U 2.5
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1st Half O/U 3.5
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1st Half O/U 2.5
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 5.5
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 5.5
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$528
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 2.5
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 3.5
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo wins by more than 2.5 goals
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo wins by more than 2.5 goals
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$973
Trade this on Kalshi
Cruz Azul Hidalgo (-2.5)
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo (-2.5)
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (-3.5)
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (-3.5)
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 6.5
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 6.5
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 2.5
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 4.5
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruz Azul Hidalgo (-3.5)
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruz Azul Hidalgo (-3.5)
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 7.5
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 7.5
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 8.5
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 8.5
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ligabbvaexpansion.mx
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • O/U 0.5
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 2.5
  • O/U 1.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Oaxaca vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo: Spread". O/U 0.5 leads at 95%. Next is Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC O/U 2.5 at 83%. $6K has traded across 53 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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