The Prediction Markets

Odd Mob Streams in 2026

Closes
Jan 2, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$56K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 90M 99%

Next is Above 105M at 98%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 90M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 52s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
60¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 105M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 105M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 95M
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 52s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95M
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
60¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 100M
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100M
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$697
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 110M
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 110M
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 115M
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 115M
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 175.0M
50.5%
Kalshi 50.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 175.0M
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 180.0M
50.5%
Kalshi 50.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 180.0M
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 185.0M
50.5%
Kalshi 50.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 185.0M
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 190.0M
50.5%
Kalshi 50.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 190.0M
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 14 more outcomes
Above 170.0M
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 170.0M
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 125M
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 125M
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 160M
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 160M
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$758
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 120M
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 120M
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 130M
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 130M
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 140M
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 140M
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 135M
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 135M
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 145M
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 145M
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 165M
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 165M
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 195.0M
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 195.0M
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 200.0M
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 200.0M
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 150M
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 150M
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 155M
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 155M
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$951
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 205.0M
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 205.0M
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Luminate

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 90M
  • Above 105M
  • Above 95M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Odd Mob Streams in 2026". Above 90M leads at 99%. Next is Above 105M at 98%. $56K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 2, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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