The Prediction Markets

OG vs. 1win

Starts in 1 h 24 minKickoff
Traded
$30K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

1win 61.4%

Next is Game 1 Winner at 56.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
1win
61.4%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 53s agoKalshi 61%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
1win
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$436
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 61¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 62¢.

Game 1 Winner
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1 Winner
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2 Winner
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2 Winner
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$75
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 53s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 53s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 53s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 53s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 53s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 14 more outcomes
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 53s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 53s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 53s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 53s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Games
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$54
Trade this on Polymarket
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OG
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
OG
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$614
Trade this on Kalshi
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$526
Trade this on Polymarket
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: kick.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: BO3, Dota 2, DLTV
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 1win
  • Game 1 Winner
  • Game 2 Winner

Live prices for 1win

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "OG vs. 1win". 1win leads at 61.4%. Next is Game 1 Winner at 56.5%. $30K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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