The Prediction Markets

OG vs. Team Yandex

Starts in 20 hKickoff
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Team Yandex 79.1%

Next is Game 2 Winner at 64%. The venues differ most on Team Yandex (Polymarket 78%, Kalshi 80%), a 2.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Team Yandex
79.1%
Polymarket 78%polled, 4 min agoKalshi 80%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Team Yandex
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 77¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 79¢.

Game 2 Winner
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2 Winner
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1 Winner
58%
Polymarket 58%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1 Winner
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$161
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 11 more outcomes
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Games
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OG
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
OG
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 26, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: kick.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: BO3, Dota 2, DLTV
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 26, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Team Yandex
  • Game 2 Winner
  • Game 1 Winner

Live prices for Team Yandex

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "OG vs. Team Yandex". Team Yandex leads at 79.1%. Next is Game 2 Winner at 64%. $4K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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