The Prediction Markets

Ohio's 5th District margin of victory

Closes
Nov 3, 2027, in 12 months
Traded
$25K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
13 min ago
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What the markets expect

Latta, 3+ pts 97.9%

Next is Latta, 6+ pts at 97.9%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Latta, 3+ pts
97.9%
Kalshi 97.9%polled, 15 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Latta, 3+ pts
Last price
97.9%
As of
Polled 15 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
9¢
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Latta, 6+ pts
97.9%
Kalshi 97.9%polled, 15 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Latta, 6+ pts
Last price
97.9%
As of
Polled 15 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
9¢
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Latta, 9+ pts
92.9%
Kalshi 92.9%polled, 15 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Latta, 9+ pts
Last price
92.9%
As of
Polled 15 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
9.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Republican 10-15%
49.6%
Polymarket 49.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 86.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
Republican 10-15%
Last price
49.6%
As of
Polled 13 min ago
Buy Yes
86.7¢
Sell Yes
12.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Latta, 12+ pts
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 15 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Latta, 12+ pts
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 15 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Latta, 15+ pts
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 15 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Latta, 15+ pts
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 15 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Latta, 18+ pts
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 15 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Latta, 18+ pts
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 15 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Latta, 21+ pts
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 15 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Latta, 21+ pts
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 15 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Latta, 24+ pts
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 15 min agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Latta, 24+ pts
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 15 min ago
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Democrat Wins
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 69.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $144 (1.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Democrat Wins
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 13 min ago
Buy Yes
69.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$144 (1.44x)
Volume
$688
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Latta, 27+ pts
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 15 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Latta, 27+ pts
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 15 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$635
Trade this on Kalshi
Latta, 30+ pts
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 15 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Latta, 30+ pts
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 15 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$212
Trade this on Kalshi
Latta, 33+ pts
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 15 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Latta, 33+ pts
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 15 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$142
Trade this on Kalshi
Republican 0-5%
7.6%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 14.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $671 (6.71x)
Polymarket
Contract
Republican 0-5%
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled 13 min ago
Buy Yes
14.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$671 (6.71x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Republican 30-35%
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Republican 30-35%
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 13 min ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Republican 25-30%
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Republican 25-30%
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 13 min ago
Buy Yes
9.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,099 (11.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Republican 5-10%
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Republican 5-10%
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 13 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$568
Trade this on Polymarket
Republican 20-25%
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Republican 20-25%
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 13 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Republican 35%+
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Republican 35%+
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 13 min ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Republican 15-20%
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 13 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Republican 15-20%
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 13 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Ohio Secretary of State

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Latta, 3+ pts
  • Latta, 6+ pts
  • Latta, 9+ pts

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Latta, 3+ pts for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ohio's 5th District margin of victory". Latta, 3+ pts leads at 97.9%. Next is Latta, 6+ pts at 97.9%. $25K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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Ohio's 5th District margin of victory Odds, Platforms, and Market Data | The Prediction Markets