The Prediction Markets

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 23, 2026?

Closes
Oct 23, 2026, in 21 hours
Traded
$60K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

97.00 to $97.99 12.9%

Next is 98.00 to $98.99 at 12.9%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

97.00 to $97.99 12.9%98.00 to $98.99 12.9%99.00 to $99.99 12.9%96.00 to $96.99 9.7%100.00 to $100.99 8.1%22 others 43.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
97.00 to $97.99
12.9%
Kalshi 16%(12.9% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
97.00 to $97.99
Last price
16%
Fair, margin removed
12.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
98.00 to $98.99
12.9%
Kalshi 16%(12.9% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
98.00 to $98.99
Last price
16%
Fair, margin removed
12.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
99.00 to $99.99
12.9%
Kalshi 16%(12.9% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
99.00 to $99.99
Last price
16%
Fair, margin removed
12.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
96.00 to $96.99
9.7%
Kalshi 12%(9.7% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
96.00 to $96.99
Last price
12%
Fair, margin removed
9.7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
100.00 to $100.99
8.1%
Kalshi 10%(8.1% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
100.00 to $100.99
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
8.1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
101.00 to $101.99
8.1%
Kalshi 10%(8.1% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
101.00 to $101.99
Last price
10%
Fair, margin removed
8.1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
95.00 to $95.99
6.5%
Kalshi 8%(6.5% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
95.00 to $95.99
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
6.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
102.00 to $102.99
4.9%
Kalshi 6%(4.8% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
102.00 to $102.99
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
94.00 to $94.99
3.2%
Kalshi 4%(3.2% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
94.00 to $94.99
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$951
Trade this on Kalshi
92.00 to $92.99
2.4%
Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
92.00 to $92.99
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$236
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 17 more outcomes
93.00 to $93.99
2.4%
Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
93.00 to $93.99
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
90.00 to $90.99
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
90.00 to $90.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Kalshi
91.00 to $91.99
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
91.00 to $91.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
110.00 to $110.99
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
110.00 to $110.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $87.00
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $87.00
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
87.00 to $87.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
87.00 to $87.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
88.00 to $88.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
88.00 to $88.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
89.00 to $89.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
89.00 to $89.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$49
Trade this on Kalshi
103.00 to $103.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
103.00 to $103.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
104.00 to $104.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
104.00 to $104.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
105.00 to $105.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
105.00 to $105.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
106.00 to $106.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
106.00 to $106.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
107.00 to $107.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
107.00 to $107.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$909
Trade this on Kalshi
108.00 to $108.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
108.00 to $108.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
109.00 to $109.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
109.00 to $109.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
111.00 to $111.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
111.00 to $111.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $111.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $111.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ICE

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 97.00 to $97.99
  • 98.00 to $98.99
  • 99.00 to $99.99

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 23, 2026?". 97.00 to $97.99 leads at 12.9%. Next is 98.00 to $98.99 at 12.9%. $60K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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