The Prediction Markets

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 9, 2026?

Closed
Oct 9, 2026
Traded
$49K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 9, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
89.00 to $89.99
12.6%
Kalshi 16%(12.6% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
89.00 to $89.99
Last price
16%
Fair, margin removed
12.6%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
90.00 to $90.99
11.8%
Kalshi 15%(11.8% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
90.00 to $90.99
Last price
15%
Fair, margin removed
11.8%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
87.00 to $87.99
9.4%
Kalshi 12%(9.4% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
87.00 to $87.99
Last price
12%
Fair, margin removed
9.4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$295
Trade this on Kalshi
88.00 to $88.99
8.6%
Kalshi 11%(8.7% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
88.00 to $88.99
Last price
11%
Fair, margin removed
8.7%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
91.00 to $91.99
8.6%
Kalshi 11%(8.7% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
91.00 to $91.99
Last price
11%
Fair, margin removed
8.7%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
92.00 to $92.99
6.3%
Kalshi 8%(6.3% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
92.00 to $92.99
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
6.3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
84.00 to $84.99
4.7%
Kalshi 6%(4.7% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
84.00 to $84.99
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.7%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$704
Trade this on Kalshi
86.00 to $86.99
4.7%
Kalshi 6%(4.7% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
86.00 to $86.99
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.7%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$375
Trade this on Kalshi
83.00 to $83.99
3.9%
Kalshi 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
83.00 to $83.99
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
3.9%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$428
Trade this on Kalshi
85.00 to $85.99
3.9%
Kalshi 5%(3.9% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
85.00 to $85.99
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
3.9%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$426
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 17 more outcomes
93.00 to $93.99
3.1%
Kalshi 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
93.00 to $93.99
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.1%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
79.00 to $79.99
2.4%
Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
79.00 to $79.99
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
80.00 to $80.99
2.4%
Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
80.00 to $80.99
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
81.00 to $81.99
2.4%
Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
81.00 to $81.99
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
94.00 to $94.99
2.4%
Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
94.00 to $94.99
Last price
3%
Fair, margin removed
2.4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$749
Trade this on Kalshi
82.00 to $82.99
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
82.00 to $82.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
95.00 to $95.99
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
95.00 to $95.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$443
Trade this on Kalshi
96.00 to $96.99
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
96.00 to $96.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
100.00 to $100.99
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
100.00 to $100.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$163
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $103.99
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $103.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
97.00 to $97.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
97.00 to $97.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$472
Trade this on Kalshi
98.00 to $98.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
98.00 to $98.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$378
Trade this on Kalshi
99.00 to $99.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
99.00 to $99.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
102.00 to $102.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
102.00 to $102.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $79.00
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $79.00
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
101.00 to $101.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
101.00 to $101.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
103.00 to $103.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
103.00 to $103.99
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ICE

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 89.00 to $89.99
  • 90.00 to $90.99
  • 87.00 to $87.99

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 9, 2026?". 89.00 to $89.99 last traded at 12.6%. Next is 90.00 to $90.99 at 11.8%. $49K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 9, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More other markets

See all other markets