The Prediction Markets

Oregon Basketball: Next Head Coach

Closes
Sep 1, 2027, in 10 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Ben McCollum 50%

Next is Brad Underwood at 50%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Ben McCollum
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Ben McCollum
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Brad Underwood
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Brad Underwood
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Bucky McMillan
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Bucky McMillan
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Chris Victor
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Victor
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Eran Ganot
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Eran Ganot
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Eric Musselman
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Eric Musselman
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Grant McCasland
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Grant McCasland
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Jase Coburn
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Jase Coburn
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Joe Pasternack
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Pasternack
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Schertz
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Schertz
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 14 more outcomes
Kyle Smith
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Kyle Smith
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Mark Few
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Mark Few
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Mick Cronin
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Mick Cronin
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Mike Mennenga
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Mennenga
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Niko Medved
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Niko Medved
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
R-Jay Barsh
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
R-Jay Barsh
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Ross Hodge
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ross Hodge
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Scott Drew
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Scott Drew
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Sean Miller
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Sean Miller
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
T.J. Otzelberger
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
T.J. Otzelberger
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Tommy Lloyd
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Tommy Lloyd
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Yasir Rosemond
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Yasir Rosemond
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Chris Gerlufsen
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Gerlufsen
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tony Stubblefield
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tony Stubblefield
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Ben McCollum
  • Brad Underwood
  • Bucky McMillan

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Oregon Basketball: Next Head Coach". Ben McCollum leads at 50%. Next is Brad Underwood at 50%. $2K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Sep 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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