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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Orlando City SC 45.5%
Next is New York City FC at 30.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Orlando City SC45.5%45.5%45¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 45s agoNot listed46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Orlando City SC45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Orlando City SC
45.5%
45.5%
45¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
Not listed
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Orlando City SC
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Orlando City SC
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $1K
New York City FC30.5%30.5%30¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 45s agoNot listed31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)New York City FC30.5%Polymarket 30.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
New York City FC
30.5%
30.5%
30¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
Not listed
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
New York City FC
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- New York City FC
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $9
Draw (Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC)23.5%23.5%23¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 45s agoNot listed24¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Draw (Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC)23.5%Polymarket 23.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Draw (Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC)
23.5%
23.5%
23¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 45s ago
Not listed
24¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Draw (Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC)
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Draw (Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC)
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $107
Draw 1H 0-020%Not listed20%18¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Draw 1H 0-020%Kalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw 1H 0-0
20%
Not listed
20%
18¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw 1H 0-0
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Draw 1H 0-0
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 1-016.5%Not listed16.5%14¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 1 min ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Orlando City SC wins 1H 1-016.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 1-0
16.5%
Not listed
16.5%
14¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 1-0
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando City SC wins 1H 1-0
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0Kalshi: “New York City FC wins 1H 1-0”14%Not listed14%13¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 1 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)New York City FC wins 1H 2-014%Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
Kalshi: “New York City FC wins 1H 1-0”
14%
Not listed
14%
13¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York City FC wins 1H 1-0
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Draw 1H 1-111.5%Not listed11.5%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Draw 1H 1-111.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Draw 1H 1-1
11.5%
Not listed
11.5%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Draw 1H 1-1
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Draw 1H 1-1
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-06%Not listed6%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-06%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-0
6%
Not listed
6%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-0
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-0
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-04%Not listed4%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)New York City FC wins 1H 2-04%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $406
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0Kalshi: “New York City FC wins 1H 2-1”4%Not listed4%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)New York City FC wins 1H 2-04%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
Kalshi: “New York City FC wins 1H 2-1”
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York City FC wins 1H 2-1
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $182
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-0Kalshi: “Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-1”3.5%Not listed3.5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-03.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-0
Kalshi: “Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-1”
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-0
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando City SC wins 1H 2-1
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-1Kalshi: “Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-0”2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-12%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-1
Kalshi: “Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-0”
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-1
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-0
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $375
Draw 1H 2-21%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Draw 1H 2-21%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Draw 1H 2-2
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Draw 1H 2-2
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Draw 1H 2-2
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0Kalshi: “New York City FC wins 1H 3-0”1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New York City FC wins 1H 2-01%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
Kalshi: “New York City FC wins 1H 3-0”
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York City FC wins 1H 3-0
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $110
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0Kalshi: “New York City FC wins 1H 3-2”1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)New York City FC wins 1H 2-01%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
Kalshi: “New York City FC wins 1H 3-2”
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York City FC wins 1H 3-2
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-1Kalshi: “Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-2”1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-11%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-1
Kalshi: “Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-2”
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-1
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-2
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-11%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-11%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-1
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-1
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando City SC wins 1H 3-1
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0Kalshi: “New York City FC wins 1H 3-1”0.5%Not listed0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New York City FC wins 1H 2-00.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
Kalshi: “New York City FC wins 1H 3-1”
0.5%
Not listed
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York City FC wins 1H 2-0
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York City FC wins 1H 3-1
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: mlssoccer.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Orlando City SC
- New York City FC
- Draw (Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC)
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Orlando City SC for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Orlando City SC vs New York City FC: 1st Half Correct Score". Orlando City SC leads at 45.5%. Next is New York City FC at 30.5%. $3K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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