The Prediction Markets

Oscar for Best Picture?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$10.4M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
34 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

The Odyssey 58.2%

Next is La Bola Negra at 37.5%. The venues differ most on Artificial (Polymarket 0.5%, Kalshi 2%), a 1.6-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

8 of 90 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 36 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
The Odyssey
58.2%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 97.2%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 45%live, 34 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Odyssey
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$175K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
The Odyssey
Last price
97.2%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
99.1¢
Sell Yes
95.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
The Odyssey
Price
45%
As of
Live feed, 34 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$2.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 46¢ and selling on Polymarket at 95.3¢ nets 4930 bps before fees.

La Bola Negra
37.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 94.5%polled, 36 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
La Bola Negra
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
La Bola Negra
Last price
94.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
You Can See Everything
35.6%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 72%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 25%live, 34 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
You Can See Everything
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
You Can See Everything
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
You Can See Everything
Price
25%
As of
Live feed, 34 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 25¢ and selling on Polymarket at 71¢ nets 4600 bps before fees.

Dune: Part Three
28.3%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 86.5%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 9%live, 34 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dune: Part Three
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Dune: Part Three
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dune: Part Three
Price
9%
As of
Live feed, 34 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$630K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 10¢ and selling on Polymarket at 86¢ nets 7600 bps before fees.

Wild Horse Nine
24.8%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 91.5%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 3%live, 34 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wild Horse Nine
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Wild Horse Nine
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wild Horse Nine
Price
3%
As of
Live feed, 34 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$477K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 90¢ nets 8700 bps before fees.

The Debut
20.1%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 78%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%live, 34 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Debut
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
The Debut
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
The Debut
Price
1%
As of
Live feed, 34 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$369K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 77¢ nets 7600 bps before fees.

Project Hail Mary
19.8%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 76.5%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%live, 34 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Project Hail Mary
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Project Hail Mary
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Project Hail Mary
Price
1%
As of
Live feed, 34 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$397K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 75¢ nets 7400 bps before fees.

The Black Ball
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Black Ball
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$648K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Invite
15.1%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 58%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Invite
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
The Invite
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
The Invite
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$52K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 57¢ nets 5600 bps before fees.

I Play Rocky
12.9%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 40%polled, 36 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
I Play Rocky
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
I Play Rocky
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 38 more outcomes
All of a Sudden
10%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 38%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
All of a Sudden
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
All of a Sudden
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
All of a Sudden
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 37¢ nets 3600 bps before fees.

Fjord
9.5%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 35%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fjord
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Fjord
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Fjord
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$237K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 34¢ nets 3300 bps before fees.

Obsession
9.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 34%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%live, 34 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Obsession
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Obsession
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Obsession
Price
1%
As of
Live feed, 34 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$353K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 33¢ nets 3200 bps before fees.

Elsinore
8.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 30.5%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elsinore
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Elsinore
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$608
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Elsinore
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$158K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 29¢ nets 2800 bps before fees.

The Adventures of Cliff Booth
7.4%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 20%polled, 36 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Digger
6.9%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 20%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 2%live, 34 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Digger
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Digger
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Digger
Price
2%
As of
Live feed, 34 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$933K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 19¢ nets 1700 bps before fees.

Behemoth
4.6%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 16%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Behemoth!
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Behemoth!
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Behemoth
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$177K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 15¢ nets 1400 bps before fees.

Michael
3.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 10.5%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Michael
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Michael
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$201K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 10¢ nets 900 bps before fees.

Avengers: Doomsday
2.7%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 8.8%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Avengers: Doomsday
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Avengers: Doomsday
Last price
8.8%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
7.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Avengers: Doomsday
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$358K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 7.7¢ nets 670 bps before fees.

Fatherland
2.5%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 5%polled, 36 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fatherland
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Fatherland
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Disclosure Day
1.7%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 4.9%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Disclosure Day
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Disclosure Day
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Disclosure Day
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$97K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3.8¢ nets 280 bps before fees.

The Social Reckoning
1.7%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 4.4%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Social Reckoning
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
The Social Reckoning
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
3.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
The Social Reckoning
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$328K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 1¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3.9¢ nets 290 bps before fees.

Artificial
1.6%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Artificial
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Artificial
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$353K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1¢ nets 50 bps before fees.

The Drama
1.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 36 min agoPolymarket 2.9%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Drama
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
The Drama
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$747
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
The Drama
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

1949 / Fatherland
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
1949 / Fatherland
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Being Heumann
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Being Heumann
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Club Kid
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Club Kid
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$68K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cry to Heaven
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cry to Heaven
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hope
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hope
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
I Love Boosters
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
I Love Boosters
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ink
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ink
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jack of Spades
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jack of Spades
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Minotaur
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minotaur
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Kalshi
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paper Tiger
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paper Tiger
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$105K
Trade this on Kalshi
Parallel Tales
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Parallel Tales
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$127
Trade this on Kalshi
Primetime
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Primetime
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sense and Sensibility
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sense and Sensibility
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tender Loving Care
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tender Loving Care
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Death of Robin Hood
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Death of Robin Hood
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Entertainment System Is Down
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Entertainment System Is Down
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$88K
Trade this on Kalshi
Werwulf
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Werwulf
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi
Josephine
0.8%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 36 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 35 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josephine
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josephine
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 35 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$217K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 36 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Tony
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 36 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tony
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Saturn Return
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 36 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Saturn Return
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Clarissa
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 36 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Clarissa
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 36 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Indicative gap, prices are 36 min old: Wild Horse Nine asks 3¢ on Kalshi and bids 90¢ on Polymarket (8700 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Mar 14, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: oscars.org
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Mar 14, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • The Odyssey
  • La Bola Negra
  • You Can See Everything

Live prices for The Odyssey

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Oscar for Best Picture?". The Odyssey leads at 58.2%. Next is La Bola Negra at 37.5%. $10.4M has traded across 48 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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