The Prediction Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Nominations

Closes
Mar 15, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$75K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Werwulf 76.6%

Next is The Odyssey at 65.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
WerwulfArb
76.6%
Polymarket 89.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 37%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Werwulf
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Werwulf
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Werwulf
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Werwulf
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$199
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 39¢ and selling on Polymarket at 88¢ nets 4900 bps before fees.

The OdysseyArb
65.5%
Polymarket 84%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 77%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Odyssey
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$977
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
The Odyssey
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The Odyssey
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The Odyssey
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 19¢ and selling on Polymarket at 82¢ nets 6300 bps before fees.

DiggerArb
54.2%
Polymarket 74%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 72%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 55%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Digger
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$45
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Digger
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Digger
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Digger
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 17¢ and selling on Polymarket at 59¢ nets 4200 bps before fees.

Dune: Part ThreeArb
47.1%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dune: Part Three
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dune: Part Three
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dune: Part Three
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Dune: Part Three
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$153
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 4¢ and selling on Polymarket at 60¢ nets 5600 bps before fees.

WickerArb
45.6%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wicker
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$615
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wicker
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$575
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Wicker
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Wicker
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 12¢ and selling on Polymarket at 61¢ nets 4900 bps before fees.

ClayfaceArb
35.4%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 39%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Clayface
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Clayface
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Clayface
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Clayface
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 11¢ and selling on Polymarket at 41¢ nets 3000 bps before fees.

Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Kalshi
La Bola Negra
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
La Bola Negra
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Elsinore
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Elsinore
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
ISG)
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
ISG)
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 11 more outcomes
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
The Bride
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Bride
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
MichaelArb
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Michael
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$417
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Michael
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 20¢ nets 1700 bps before fees.

RoseArb
17.1%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rose
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rose
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Rose
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Rose
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$600
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 15¢ nets 1200 bps before fees.

MaddenArb
13.8%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Madden
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Madden
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$534
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Madden
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$202
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 14¢ nets 1100 bps before fees.

I Play Rocky
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
I Play Rocky
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
I Love BoostersArb
9.2%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
I Love Boosters
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
I Love Boosters
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
I Love Boosters
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 11¢ nets 800 bps before fees.

The Social ReckoningArb
6.8%
Polymarket 7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Social Reckoning
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
The Social Reckoning
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$363
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
The Social Reckoning
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 6¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

UNABOMBER
4.3%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
UNABOMBER
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
UNABOMBER
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$311
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
UNABOMBER
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Cry to Heaven
2.1%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cry to Heaven
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cry to Heaven
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Cry to Heaven
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.5¢.

Tie
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy The Odyssey on Kalshi at 19¢, sell on Polymarket at 82¢ (6300 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, Critics Choice Awards
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Werwulf
  • The Odyssey
  • Digger

Live prices for Werwulf

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Nominations". Werwulf leads at 76.6%. Next is The Odyssey at 65.5%. $75K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 15, 2027.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More culture markets

See all culture markets