The Prediction Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

Closes
Mar 15, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$690K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
10 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Matt Damon 94%

Next is John Malkovich at 91%. The venues differ most on Edward Norton (Polymarket 43%, Kalshi 54%), a 11-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 10 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Matt Damon
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matt Damon
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$35K
Trade this on Kalshi
John Malkovich
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
John Malkovich
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paul Giamatti
90.8%
Polymarket 93%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 90%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paul Giamatti
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$673
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Paul Giamatti
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Andrew Scott
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andrew Scott
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Kalshi
David Harbour
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Harbour
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Kalshi
Stephen Root
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stephen Root
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
John Leguizamo
69.6%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 70%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Leguizamo
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
John Leguizamo
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Guitarricadelafuente
69.4%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 70%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guitarricadelafuente
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Guitarricadelafuente
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Patrick Ball
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Ball
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jason Bateman
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jason Bateman
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 50 more outcomes
Tom Cruise
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tom Cruise
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$71K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Rockwell
55.6%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 77%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Rockwell
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$858
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Rockwell
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Rockwell
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Edward Norton
51.3%
Polymarket 43%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 54%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Edward Norton
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$931
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Edward Norton
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Shawn Hatosy
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shawn Hatosy
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Gosling
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Gosling
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$58K
Trade this on Kalshi
John Turturro
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
John Turturro
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Andrew Garfield
42.3%
Polymarket 78%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 7%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 77%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrew Garfield
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Andrew Garfield
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Andrew Garfield
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Robert Pattinson
39.2%
Polymarket 32%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 52%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 29%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Robert Pattinson
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Robert Pattinson
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$45K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Robert Pattinson
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Anthony Ippolito
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthony Ippolito
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Richard Gadd
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Richard Gadd
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nick Offerman
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Offerman
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Colman Domingo
22.4%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 25%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 15%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colman Domingo
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Colman Domingo
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Colman Domingo
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$319
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Charles Melton
19.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 72%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Melton
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Melton
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Melton
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Melton
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Pedro Pascal
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pedro Pascal
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$42K
Trade this on Kalshi
Timothée Chalamet
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Timothée Chalamet
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Yura Borisov
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yura Borisov
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sebastian Stan
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sebastian Stan
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
John Goodman
12.8%
Polymarket 13.9%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 12%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Goodman
Last price
13.9%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
14.8¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$676 (6.76x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
John Goodman
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Riz Ahmed
12.4%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 12%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Riz Ahmed
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Riz Ahmed
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Jaafar Jackson
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaafar Jackson
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Kalshi
Skyler Gisondo
10.6%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 12%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Skyler Gisondo
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$474
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Skyler Gisondo
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Mahershala Ali
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mahershala Ali
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Steve Buscemi
9.9%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 10%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Steve Buscemi
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Steve Buscemi
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

James Ortiz
9.6%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 11%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Ortiz
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
James Ortiz
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Channing Tatum
8.7%
Polymarket 7.3%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 15%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Channing Tatum
Last price
7.3%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
5.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$173
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Channing Tatum
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Channing Tatum
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Antonio Banderas
8.3%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 9%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Antonio Banderas
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
5.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Antonio Banderas
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Paul W. Downs
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paul W. Downs
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Himesh Patel
6.8%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 8%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Himesh Patel
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Himesh Patel
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Josh O'Connor
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh O'Connor
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Keanu Reeves
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Keanu Reeves
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeremy Strong
5.5%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeremy Strong
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremy Strong
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremy Strong
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Miles Teller
5.4%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miles Teller
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
5.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$341
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Miles Teller
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Guy Pearce
4.7%
Polymarket 1%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Guy Pearce
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$455
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Guy Pearce
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Guy Pearce
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Michael Fassbender
4.7%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Fassbender
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Fassbender
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Adam Driver
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adam Driver
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dominic Sessa
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dominic Sessa
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeremy Allen White
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremy Allen White
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Andrew Scott
3.6%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
3.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Adam Scott
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Robert Aramayo
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Robert Aramayo
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tom Holland
2.8%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom Holland
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tom Holland
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Tom Holland
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Jesse Plemons
2.8%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jesse Plemons
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jesse Plemons
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$967
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Daniel Craig
2.8%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 7%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Craig
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Craig
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$708
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Prices on these venues are 10 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Robert De Niro
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Robert De Niro
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$658
Trade this on Polymarket
Brad Pitt
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brad Pitt
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Robert DeNiro
2%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Robert DeNiro
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$204
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Robert DeNiro
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Ethan Hawke
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ethan Hawke
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hanns Zischler
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hanns Zischler
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott)
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott)
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$586
Trade this on Kalshi
Javier Bardem
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Javier Bardem
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacha Baron Cohen
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 10 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacha Baron Cohen
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 10 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$514
Trade this on Kalshi

Venue prices are 10 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, Golden Globes
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Matt Damon
  • John Malkovich
  • Paul Giamatti

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Matt Damon for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations". Matt Damon leads at 94%. Next is John Malkovich at 91%. $690K has traded across 60 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 15, 2027.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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