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Trading ended on Oct 14, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 444.099.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 372 h agoNo askAbove 444.099.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 444.0
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 372 h ago
No ask
Above 444.0
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.199%99%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 372 h agoNo askAbove 443.199%Kalshi 99%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.1
99%
99%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 372 h ago
No ask
Above 443.1
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 372 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 443.1
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- Volume
- $100
Above 443.799%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, 372 h agoNo askAbove 443.799%Kalshi 99%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.7
99%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, 372 h ago
No ask
Above 443.7
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.899%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, 372 h agoNo askAbove 443.899%Kalshi 99%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.8
99%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, 372 h ago
No ask
Above 443.8
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.298.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 372 h agoNo askAbove 443.298.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.2
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 372 h ago
No ask
Above 443.2
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.398.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 372 h agoNo askAbove 443.398.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.3
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 372 h ago
No ask
Above 443.3
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.498.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 372 h agoNo askAbove 443.498.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.4
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 372 h ago
No ask
Above 443.4
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.598.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 372 h agoNo askAbove 443.598.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.5
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 372 h ago
No ask
Above 443.5
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.698.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 372 h agoNo askAbove 443.698.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.6
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 372 h ago
No ask
Above 443.6
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.998.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 372 h agoNo askAbove 443.998.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Above 443.9
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 372 h ago
No ask
Above 443.9
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h ago
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Above 444.198.5%98.5%98¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 372 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 444.198.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 444.1
98.5%
98.5%
98¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 444.1
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 444.1
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 444.298%98%97¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 372 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 444.298%Kalshi 98%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 444.2
98%
98%
97¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 444.2
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 444.2
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 444.397%97%97¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 372 h ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Above 444.397%Kalshi 97%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 444.3
97%
97%
97¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 444.3
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 444.3
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $3K
Above 444.588%88%89¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 372 h ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Above 444.588%Kalshi 88%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Above 444.5
88%
88%
89¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Above 444.5
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 444.5
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $3K
Above 444.486%86%89¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 372 h ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Above 444.486%Kalshi 86%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Above 444.4
86%
86%
89¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Above 444.4
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 444.4
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $500
Above 444.672%72%83¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 372 h ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Above 444.672%Kalshi 72%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Above 444.6
72%
72%
83¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Above 444.6
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 444.6
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $200
Above 444.769%69%69¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 372 h ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Above 444.769%Kalshi 69%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Above 444.7
69%
69%
69¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Above 444.7
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 444.7
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $207
Above 444.851%51%61¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 372 h ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Above 444.851%Kalshi 51%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Above 444.8
51%
51%
61¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Above 444.8
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 444.8
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $15K
Above 445.037%37%34¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 372 h ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Above 445.037%Kalshi 37%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Above 445.0
37%
37%
34¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Above 445.0
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 445.0
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $400
Above 444.930%30%41¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 372 h ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Above 444.930%Kalshi 30%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Above 444.9
30%
30%
41¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Above 444.9
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 444.9
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $300
Above 445.117%17%12¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 372 h ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Above 445.117%Kalshi 17%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Above 445.1
17%
17%
12¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Above 445.1
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 445.1
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $1K
Above 445.213%13%13¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 372 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Above 445.213%Kalshi 13%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Above 445.2
13%
13%
13¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Above 445.2
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 445.2
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $435
Above 445.37%7%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 372 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Above 445.37%Kalshi 7%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 445.3
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 445.3
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 445.3
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $682
Above 445.54%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 372 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Above 445.54%Kalshi 4%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above 445.5
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Above 445.5
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 445.5
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $890
Above 445.43%3%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 372 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 445.43%Kalshi 3%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 445.4
3%
3%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 372 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 445.4
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 372 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 445.4
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $950
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 444.0
- Above 443.1
- Above 443.7
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026". Above 444.0 last traded at 99.5%. Next is Above 443.1 at 99%. $27K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 14, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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