The Prediction Markets

Paris Basketball vs. Valencia

Starts in 2 h 56 minKickoff
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Over 119.5 points scored 99%

Next is Over 129.5 points scored at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Over 119.5 points scored
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 16s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Over 119.5 points scored
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
65¢
Volume
$906
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 129.5 points scored
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 16s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Over 129.5 points scored
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
66¢
Volume
$906
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 139.5 points scored
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 16s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Over 139.5 points scored
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
68¢
Volume
$328
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 149.5 points scored
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 16s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Over 149.5 points scored
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
80¢
Volume
$806
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 159.5 points scored
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 159.5 points scored
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 164.5 points scored
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 164.5 points scored
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 169.5 points scored
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 169.5 points scored
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 174.5 points scored
82.5%
Kalshi 82.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 174.5 points scored
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 179.5 points scored
67.5%
Kalshi 67.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 179.5 points scored
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Valencia Basket wins by over 2.5 points
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Valencia Basket wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 16 more outcomes
Valencia (-3.5)
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valencia (-3.5)
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 184.5
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 184.5
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 189.5 points scored
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 189.5 points scored
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Kalshi
Valencia Basket wins by over 6.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Valencia Basket wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris Basketball vs. Valencia
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Basketball vs. Valencia
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Valencia Basket wins by over 10.5 points
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Valencia Basket wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris Basketball wins by over 2.5 points
27.5%
Kalshi 27.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paris Basketball wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Valencia Basket wins by over 14.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Valencia Basket wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 199.5 points scored
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 199.5 points scored
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris Basketball wins by over 6.5 points
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paris Basketball wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris Basketball wins by over 14.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paris Basketball wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Valencia Basket wins by over 18.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Valencia Basket wins by over 18.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris Basketball wins by over 10.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paris Basketball wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Valencia Basket wins by over 22.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Valencia Basket wins by over 22.5 points
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris Basketball wins by over 18.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paris Basketball wins by over 18.5 points
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paris Basketball wins by over 22.5 points
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paris Basketball wins by over 22.5 points
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$91
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: euroleaguebasketball.net
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Over 119.5 points scored
  • Over 129.5 points scored
  • Over 139.5 points scored

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Over 119.5 points scored for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Paris Basketball vs. Valencia". Over 119.5 points scored leads at 99%. Next is Over 129.5 points scored at 99%. $7K has traded across 26 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 23 at 2:45PM ET: If the Paris Basketball win, the market will resolve to "Paris Basketball". If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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