The Prediction Markets

Pennsylvania Governor General Election: voter turnout

Closes
Nov 3, 2027, in 13 months
Traded
$15K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 4.00M 90%

Next is Above 4.40M at 88%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 4.00M
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.00M
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.40M
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.40M
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.80M
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.80M
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.20M
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.20M
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$245
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.00M
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.00M
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Kalshi
5M-5.5M
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
5M-5.5M
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 5.6M
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6M
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$59
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.4M
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.4M
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.9M
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.9M
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
4.5M-5M
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
4.5M-5M
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
5.5M-6M
17.6%
Polymarket 17.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
5.5M-6M
Last price
17.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
14.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$740
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 6.2M
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.2M
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$492
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.4M
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.4M
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
6M-6.5M
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
6M-6.5M
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
5.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 6.6M
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.6M
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
4M-4.5M
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
4M-4.5M
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
6.5M+
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
6.5M+
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
4M
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
4M
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$608
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Pennsylvania Department of State

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 4.00M
  • Above 4.40M
  • Above 4.80M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 4.00M for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pennsylvania Governor General Election: voter turnout". Above 4.00M leads at 90%. Next is Above 4.40M at 88%. $15K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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