The Prediction Markets

Pennsylvania's 17th District margin of victory

Closes
Nov 3, 2027, in 13 months
Traded
$17K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Deluzio, 3+ pts 89%

Next is Deluzio, 6+ pts at 86%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Deluzio, 3+ pts
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 96.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deluzio, 3+ pts
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
96.8¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Deluzio, 6+ pts
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 95.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deluzio, 6+ pts
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
95.3¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$718
Trade this on Kalshi
Deluzio, 9+ pts
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deluzio, 9+ pts
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Deluzio, 12+ pts
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deluzio, 12+ pts
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$495
Trade this on Kalshi
Deluzio, 15+ pts
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deluzio, 15+ pts
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$414
Trade this on Kalshi
Deluzio, 18+ pts
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deluzio, 18+ pts
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$134
Trade this on Kalshi
Deluzio, 21+ pts
36.5%
Kalshi 36.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deluzio, 21+ pts
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Democrat 20-25%
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Democrat 20-25%
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Democrat 10-15%
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Democrat 10-15%
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Democrat 15-20%
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Democrat 15-20%
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Deluzio, 24+ pts
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deluzio, 24+ pts
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$109
Trade this on Kalshi
Democrat 5-10%
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Democrat 5-10%
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Deluzio, 27+ pts
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deluzio, 27+ pts
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Deluzio, 30+ pts
8.6%
Kalshi 8.6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deluzio, 30+ pts
Last price
8.6%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Democrat 30%+
5.9%
Polymarket 5.9%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 10.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $990 (9.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Democrat 30%+
Last price
5.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$409
Trade this on Polymarket
Democrat 0-5%
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Democrat 0-5%
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$272
Trade this on Polymarket
Democrat 25-30%
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Democrat 25-30%
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Polymarket
Republican Wins
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Republican Wins
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$303
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Deluzio, 3+ pts
  • Deluzio, 6+ pts
  • Deluzio, 9+ pts

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Deluzio, 3+ pts for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pennsylvania's 17th District margin of victory". Deluzio, 3+ pts leads at 89%. Next is Deluzio, 6+ pts at 86%. $17K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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