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What the markets expect
UTC Cajamarca 92.5%
Next is Deportivo Moquegua at 66%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
UTC Cajamarca92.5%92.5%89¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 min ago96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)UTC Cajamarca92.5%Polymarket 92.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
UTC Cajamarca
92.5%
92.5%
89¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
UTC Cajamarca
92.5%
Polymarket 92.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- UTC Cajamarca
- Last price
- 92.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $2K
Deportivo Moquegua66%66%46¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 1 min ago86¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Deportivo Moquegua66%Polymarket 66%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Deportivo Moquegua
66%
66%
46¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
86¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Deportivo Moquegua
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Deportivo Moquegua
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $4K
ADT41%41%33¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 1 min ago49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)ADT41%Polymarket 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
ADT
41%
41%
33¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
ADT
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- ADT
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $2K
FC Cajamarca33.5%33.5%27¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 1 min ago40¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $250 (2.50x)FC Cajamarca33.5%Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
FC Cajamarca
33.5%
33.5%
27¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
40¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
FC Cajamarca
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Cajamarca
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $6K
Alianza Lima25.6%25.6%1¢ bid, 50.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago50.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Alianza Lima25.6%Polymarket 25.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Alianza Lima
25.6%
25.6%
1¢ bid, 50.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
50.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Alianza Lima
25.6%
Polymarket 25.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alianza Lima
- Last price
- 25.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Cienciano19.3%19.3%18¢ bid, 20.6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago20.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $485 (4.85x)Cienciano19.3%Polymarket 19.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $485 (4.85x)
Cienciano
19.3%
19.3%
18¢ bid, 20.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
20.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $485 (4.85x)
Cienciano
19.3%
Polymarket 19.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $485 (4.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cienciano
- Last price
- 19.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $485 (4.85x)
- Volume
- $586
Juan Pablo II12.4%12.4%9.7¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 1 min ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Juan Pablo II12.4%Polymarket 12.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Juan Pablo II
12.4%
12.4%
9.7¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Juan Pablo II
12.4%
Polymarket 12.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Juan Pablo II
- Last price
- 12.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $478
Sport Boys10.5%10.5%9¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 1 min ago12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Sport Boys10.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Sport Boys
10.5%
10.5%
9¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Sport Boys
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sport Boys
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $3K
Deportivo Garcilaso10.5%10.5%5¢ bid, 15.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago15.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $629 (6.29x)Deportivo Garcilaso10.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $629 (6.29x)
Deportivo Garcilaso
10.5%
10.5%
5¢ bid, 15.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
15.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $629 (6.29x)
Deportivo Garcilaso
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $629 (6.29x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Deportivo Garcilaso
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $629 (6.29x)
- Volume
- $123
Atlético Grau9%9%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Atlético Grau9%Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Atlético Grau
9%
9%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Atlético Grau
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Atlético Grau
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $242
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
Alianza Atlético Sullana4.8%4.8%1¢ bid, 8.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)Alianza Atlético Sullana4.8%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Alianza Atlético Sullana
4.8%
4.8%
1¢ bid, 8.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Alianza Atlético Sullana
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alianza Atlético Sullana
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,176 (11.8x)
- Volume
- $61
Comerciantes Unidos4.5%4.5%2.9¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Comerciantes Unidos4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Comerciantes Unidos
4.5%
4.5%
2.9¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Comerciantes Unidos
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Comerciantes Unidos
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $44
Los Chankas3.2%3.2%0.3¢ bid, 6.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)Los Chankas3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Los Chankas
3.2%
3.2%
0.3¢ bid, 6.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Los Chankas
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Los Chankas
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,639 (16.4x)
- Volume
- $721
Cusco FC3%3%1.1¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Cusco FC3%Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Cusco FC
3%
3%
1.1¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Cusco FC
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cusco FC
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
Sport Huancayo3%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Sport Huancayo3%Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Sport Huancayo
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Sport Huancayo
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sport Huancayo
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Sporting Cristal3%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Sporting Cristal3%Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Sporting Cristal
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Sporting Cristal
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sporting Cristal
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $60
Universitario0.9%0.9%0.2¢ bid, 1.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Universitario0.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Universitario
0.9%
0.9%
0.2¢ bid, 1.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Universitario
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Universitario
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $187
FBC Melgar0.5%0.5%— bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)FBC Melgar0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
FBC Melgar
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
FBC Melgar
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FBC Melgar
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- UTC Cajamarca
- Deportivo Moquegua
- ADT
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Peru Liga 1: Teams relegated (2026)". UTC Cajamarca leads at 92.5%. Next is Deportivo Moquegua at 66%. $22K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Peru Liga 1 at the conclusion of the 2026 Peru Liga 1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Peru Liga 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Peru Liga 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Peru Liga 1. If the 2026 Peru Liga 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Peru Liga 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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