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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 94.5%
Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 91.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
1 of 34 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds94.5%94.5%92¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)O/U 0.5 Rounds94.5%Polymarket 94.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
94.5%
94.5%
92¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
94.5%
Polymarket 94.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 94.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds91.5%91.5%86¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)O/U 1.5 Rounds91.5%Polymarket 91.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
91.5%
91.5%
86¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
91.5%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 91.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Fight won by decision?72%72%59¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed85¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Fight won by decision?72%Polymarket 72%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Fight won by decision?
72%
72%
59¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
85¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Fight won by decision?
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $1
O/U 4.5 Rounds72%72%71¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)O/U 4.5 Rounds72%Polymarket 72%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
72%
72%
71¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 4.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $125
Fight to Go the Distance?69.5%69.5%68¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed71¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Fight to Go the Distance?69.5%Polymarket 69.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
69.5%
69.5%
68¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
71¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 69.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
- Volume
- $31
Decision or Draw69%69%64¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed74¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Decision or Draw69%Polymarket 69%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Decision or Draw
69%
69%
64¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
74¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Decision or Draw
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $774
O/U 2.5 Rounds61%61%32¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed90¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)O/U 2.5 Rounds61%Polymarket 61%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
61%
61%
32¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
90¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds61%61%30¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed92¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $109 (1.09x)O/U 3.5 Rounds61%Polymarket 61%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
61%
61%
30¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
92¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 3.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan41.5%41.5%41¢ bid, 42¢ asklive, just nowNot listed42¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan41.5%Polymarket 41.5%live, just nowBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan
41.5%
41.5%
41¢ bid, 42¢ ask
live, just now
Not listed
42¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%live, just nowBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan
- Price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Live feed, just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $249K
Petr Yan by Decision39%Not listed39%38¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 18s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Petr Yan by Decision39%Kalshi 39%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Petr Yan by Decision
39%
Not listed
39%
38¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Petr Yan by Decision
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Petr Yan by Decision
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 24 more outcomesHide 24 outcomes
Yan in Round 232%32%3¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed61¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Yan in Round 232%Polymarket 32%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Yan in Round 2
32%
32%
3¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
61¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Yan in Round 2
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan in Round 2
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Yan in Round 531%31%3¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed59¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Yan in Round 531%Polymarket 31%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Yan in Round 5
31%
31%
3¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
59¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Yan in Round 5
31%
Polymarket 31%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan in Round 5
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
Merab Dvalishvili by Decision30%Not listed30%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 18s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Merab Dvalishvili by Decision30%Kalshi 30%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Merab Dvalishvili by Decision
30%
Not listed
30%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Merab Dvalishvili by Decision
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Merab Dvalishvili by Decision
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Fight won by KO/TKO?26%26%22¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Fight won by KO/TKO?26%Polymarket 26%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
26%
26%
22¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Ends before Round 5?23%23%21¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Ends before Round 5?23%Polymarket 23%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ends before Round 5?
23%
23%
21¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ends before Round 5?
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 5?
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Yan to win by KO/TKO?23%23%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed24¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Yan to win by KO/TKO?23%Polymarket 23%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Yan to win by KO/TKO?
23%
23%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
24¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Yan to win by KO/TKO?
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $1K
Petr Yan by KO/TKO/DQ18%Not listed18%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 18s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Petr Yan by KO/TKO/DQ18%Kalshi 18%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Petr Yan by KO/TKO/DQ
18%
Not listed
18%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Petr Yan by KO/TKO/DQ
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Petr Yan by KO/TKO/DQ
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $8K
Ends before Round 4?17%17%15¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Ends before Round 4?17%Polymarket 17%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Ends before Round 4?
17%
17%
15¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Ends before Round 4?
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 4?
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Ends before Round 3?12%12%10¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Ends before Round 3?12%Polymarket 12%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ends before Round 3?
12%
12%
10¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ends before Round 3?
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Ends before Round 2?8.5%8.5%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Ends before Round 2?8.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Ends before Round 2?
8.5%
8.5%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Ends before Round 2?
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $91
Merab Dvalishvili by KO/TKO/DQ8%Not listed8%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 18s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Merab Dvalishvili by KO/TKO/DQ8%Kalshi 8%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Merab Dvalishvili by KO/TKO/DQ
8%
Not listed
8%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Merab Dvalishvili by KO/TKO/DQ
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Merab Dvalishvili by KO/TKO/DQ
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $4K
Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO?7%7%4¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO?7%Polymarket 7%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO?
7%
7%
4¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO?
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $386
Fight won by submission?7%7%4¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Fight won by submission?7%Polymarket 7%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Fight won by submission?
7%
7%
4¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Fight won by submission?
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Yan in Round 17%7%3¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Yan in Round 17%Polymarket 7%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Yan in Round 1
7%
7%
3¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Yan in Round 1
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan in Round 1
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Yan in Round 46.5%6.5%3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Yan in Round 46.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Yan in Round 4
6.5%
6.5%
3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Yan in Round 4
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan in Round 4
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Yan in Round 36%6%3¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Yan in Round 36%Polymarket 6%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Yan in Round 3
6%
6%
3¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Yan in Round 3
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan in Round 3
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Dvalishvili in Round 15.5%5.5%3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Dvalishvili in Round 15.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Dvalishvili in Round 1
5.5%
5.5%
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Dvalishvili in Round 1
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili in Round 1
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Dvalishvili in Round 55.5%5.5%3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Dvalishvili in Round 55.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Dvalishvili in Round 5
5.5%
5.5%
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Dvalishvili in Round 5
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili in Round 5
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Dvalishvili in Round 25%5%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Dvalishvili in Round 25%Polymarket 5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Dvalishvili in Round 2
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Dvalishvili in Round 2
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili in Round 2
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Dvalishvili in Round 35%5%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Dvalishvili in Round 35%Polymarket 5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Dvalishvili in Round 3
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Dvalishvili in Round 3
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili in Round 3
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Dvalishvili in Round 45%5%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 18s agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Dvalishvili in Round 45%Polymarket 5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Dvalishvili in Round 4
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Dvalishvili in Round 4
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili in Round 4
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Merab Dvalishvili by Submission5%Not listed5%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 18s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Merab Dvalishvili by Submission5%Kalshi 5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Merab Dvalishvili by Submission
5%
Not listed
5%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Merab Dvalishvili by Submission
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Merab Dvalishvili by Submission
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Petr Yan by Submission4%Not listed4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 18s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Petr Yan by Submission4%Kalshi 4%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Petr Yan by Submission
4%
Not listed
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Petr Yan by Submission
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Petr Yan by Submission
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $975
Draw/No Contest2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 18s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Draw/No Contest2%Kalshi 2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Draw/No Contest
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 18s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Draw/No Contest
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Draw/No Contest
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $983
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Paramount+, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Fight won by decision?
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili: Method of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 94.5%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 91.5%. $275K has traded across 34 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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