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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 92.5%
Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 90%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds92.5%92.5%88¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)O/U 0.5 Rounds92.5%Polymarket 92.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
92.5%
92.5%
88¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
97¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
92.5%
Polymarket 92.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 92.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds90%90%84¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)O/U 1.5 Rounds90%Polymarket 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
90%
90%
84¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
90%
Polymarket 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds72%72%71¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)O/U 4.5 Rounds72%Polymarket 72%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
72%
72%
71¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
O/U 4.5 Rounds
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 4.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $125
O/U 2.5 Rounds71.5%71.5%51¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed92¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $109 (1.09x)O/U 2.5 Rounds71.5%Polymarket 71.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
71.5%
71.5%
51¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
92¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 71.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Fight to Go the Distance?69.5%69.5%68¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed71¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Fight to Go the Distance?69.5%Polymarket 69.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
69.5%
69.5%
68¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
71¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 69.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
- Volume
- $15
O/U 3.5 Rounds68%68%50¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed86¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)O/U 3.5 Rounds68%Polymarket 68%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
68%
68%
50¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
86¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
O/U 3.5 Rounds
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 3.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Fight won by decision?63%63%50¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed76¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Fight won by decision?63%Polymarket 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Fight won by decision?
63%
63%
50¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
76¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Fight won by decision?
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $1
Decision or Draw62%62%52¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed72¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Decision or Draw62%Polymarket 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Decision or Draw
62%
62%
52¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
72¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Decision or Draw
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $275
Decision / Draw / No Contest60%Not listed60%60¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 1 min ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Decision / Draw / No Contest60%Kalshi 60%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
60%
Not listed
60%
60¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $400
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan41.5%41.5%41¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed42¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan41.5%Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan
41.5%
41.5%
41¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
42¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan
- Last price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $205K
Show 28 more outcomesHide 28 outcomes
Fight won by KO/TKO?32.5%32.5%19¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Fight won by KO/TKO?32.5%Polymarket 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
32.5%
32.5%
19¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO?28%28%9¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO?28%Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO?
28%
28%
9¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
47¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO?
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $386
Dvalishvili in Round 126.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Dvalishvili in Round 126.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 1
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 1
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili in Round 1
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 226.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Dvalishvili in Round 226.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 2
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 2
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili in Round 2
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Dvalishvili in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 426.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Dvalishvili in Round 426.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 4
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 4
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili in Round 4
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 526.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Dvalishvili in Round 526.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 5
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Dvalishvili in Round 5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dvalishvili in Round 5
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 126.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Yan in Round 126.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 1
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 1
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan in Round 1
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 226.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Yan in Round 226.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 2
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 2
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan in Round 2
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Yan in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 426.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Yan in Round 426.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 4
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 4
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan in Round 4
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 526.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Yan in Round 526.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 5
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Yan in Round 5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan in Round 5
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Ends before Round 5?23%23%21¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Ends before Round 5?23%Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ends before Round 5?
23%
23%
21¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ends before Round 5?
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 5?
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Yan to win by KO/TKO?23%23%21¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Yan to win by KO/TKO?23%Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Yan to win by KO/TKO?
23%
23%
21¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Yan to win by KO/TKO?
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yan to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $137
Ends before Round 4?16.5%16.5%14¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Ends before Round 4?16.5%Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Ends before Round 4?
16.5%
16.5%
14¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Ends before Round 4?
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 4?
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Fight won by submission?14%14%3¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Fight won by submission?14%Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Fight won by submission?
14%
14%
3¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Fight won by submission?
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Ends before Round 3?12%12%10¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Ends before Round 3?12%Polymarket 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ends before Round 3?
12%
12%
10¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ends before Round 3?
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Ends before Round 2?8.5%8.5%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Ends before Round 2?8.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Ends before Round 2?
8.5%
8.5%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Ends before Round 2?
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $91
Petr Yan to win in Round 16%Not listed6%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Petr Yan to win in Round 16%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Petr Yan to win in Round 1
6%
Not listed
6%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Petr Yan to win in Round 1
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Petr Yan to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $317
Petr Yan to win in Round 25%Not listed5%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Petr Yan to win in Round 25%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Petr Yan to win in Round 2
5%
Not listed
5%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Petr Yan to win in Round 2
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Petr Yan to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $113
Petr Yan to win in Round 44%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Petr Yan to win in Round 44%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Petr Yan to win in Round 4
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Petr Yan to win in Round 4
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Petr Yan to win in Round 4
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Petr Yan to win in Round 33%Not listed3%2¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Petr Yan to win in Round 33%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Petr Yan to win in Round 3
3%
Not listed
3%
2¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Petr Yan to win in Round 3
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Petr Yan to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Petr Yan to win in Round 53%Not listed3%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Petr Yan to win in Round 53%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Petr Yan to win in Round 5
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Petr Yan to win in Round 5
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Petr Yan to win in Round 5
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $343
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 12%Not listed2%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 12%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 1
2%
Not listed
2%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 1
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $39
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 32%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 32%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 3
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 3
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $741
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 52%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 52%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 5
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 5
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 5
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 21%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 21%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 2
1%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 2
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $305
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 41%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 41%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 4
1%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 4
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Merab Dvalishvili to win in Round 4
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Paramount+, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- O/U 4.5 Rounds
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 92.5%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 90%. $213K has traded across 38 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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