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Taylor Montgomery 82.5%
Next is Greyson Sigg at 81.5%. The venues differ most on Haotong Li (Polymarket 0.9%, Kalshi 74.5%), a 74-point gap.
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 12.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 96¢ nets 8380 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 10.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 96¢ nets 8560 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 73¢ nets 7130 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 6.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 95¢ nets 8850 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 94¢ nets 8890 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 94¢ nets 8890 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 4.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 94¢ nets 8960 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 93¢ nets 8790 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 93¢ nets 9020 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 92¢ nets 8900 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 8880 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 8950 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 3.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 8780 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 8860 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 90¢ nets 8790 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 88¢ nets 8660 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 92¢ nets 9070 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 88¢ nets 8650 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 86¢ nets 8460 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 87¢ nets 8600 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 8.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 94¢ nets 8580 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 86¢ nets 8490 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 85¢ nets 8400 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 83¢ nets 8190 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 84¢ nets 8280 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 81¢ nets 7930 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 81¢ nets 7990 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 79¢ nets 7790 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 78¢ nets 7710 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 3.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 93¢ nets 8950 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 76¢ nets 7430 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 76¢ nets 7500 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 75¢ nets 7310 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 74¢ nets 7240 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 8820 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 72¢ nets 7020 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 68¢ nets 6630 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 93¢ nets 9140 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 68¢ nets 6710 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 67¢ nets 6570 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 68¢ nets 6660 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 65¢ nets 6330 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 64¢ nets 6210 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 66¢ nets 6440 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 84¢ nets 8260 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 63¢ nets 6170 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 60¢ nets 5900 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 54¢ nets 5270 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 53¢ nets 5180 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 53¢ nets 5180 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 50¢ nets 4820 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 52¢ nets 5020 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 49¢ nets 4770 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 49¢ nets 4720 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 49¢ nets 4800 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 43¢ nets 4180 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 42¢ nets 4030 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 59¢ nets 5780 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 42¢ nets 4080 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 40¢ nets 3880 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 38¢ nets 3680 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 36¢ nets 3500 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 3400 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 3380 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 3400 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 3400 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 48¢ nets 4680 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 29¢ nets 2780 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 27¢ nets 2580 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 26¢ nets 2480 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 32¢ nets 3030 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 33¢ nets 3180 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 32¢ nets 3080 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 24¢ nets 2280 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 23¢ nets 2130 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 20¢ nets 1830 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 15¢ nets 1340 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 19¢ nets 1800 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 1230 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 17¢ nets 1600 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 12¢ nets 1080 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 9¢ nets 780 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 900 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 980 bps before fees.


Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 6¢ nets 500 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 70 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.7¢.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 380 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 380 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 230 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 180 bps before fees.







Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.4¢.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Jonathan Byrd on Polymarket at 1.6¢, sell on Kalshi at 93¢ (9140 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket doesn’t list Taylor Montgomery for this event.
Waiting for the first live quote…
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
Live prediction market odds for "PGA Tour: Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner". Taylor Montgomery leads at 82.5%. Next is Greyson Sigg at 81.5%. $13.6M has traded across 136 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.