The Prediction Markets

PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: Winner

Closes
Nov 2, 2026, in 9 days
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Spirit 23.4%

Next is MOUZ at 16.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Spirit 23.4%MOUZ 16.2%Vitality 16.2%Aurora 6.3%FUT 6.3%11 others 31.6%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Spirit
23.4%
Polymarket 29.5%(23.3% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spirit
Last price
29.5%
Fair, margin removed
23.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
MOUZ
16.2%
Polymarket 20.5%(16.2% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
MOUZ
Last price
20.5%
Fair, margin removed
16.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Vitality
16.2%
Polymarket 20.5%(16.2% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vitality
Last price
20.5%
Fair, margin removed
16.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Aurora
6.3%
Polymarket 8%(6.3% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aurora
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
6.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FUT
6.3%
Polymarket 8%(6.3% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
FUT
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
6.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Polymarket
FURIA
5.9%
Polymarket 7.5%(5.9% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
FURIA
Last price
7.5%
Fair, margin removed
5.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$97
Trade this on Polymarket
Natus Vincere
4.4%
Polymarket 5.5%(4.4% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Natus Vincere
Last price
5.5%
Fair, margin removed
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Legacy
3.5%
Polymarket 4.5%(3.5% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Legacy
Last price
4.5%
Fair, margin removed
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BetBoom
3.2%
Polymarket 4%(3.2% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
BetBoom
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$526
Trade this on Polymarket
9z
3.1%
Polymarket 4%(3.1% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
9z
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
G2
2.8%
Polymarket 3.6%(2.8% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
G2
Last price
3.6%
Fair, margin removed
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Polymarket
The MongolZ
2.5%
Polymarket 3.2%(2.5% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
The MongolZ
Last price
3.2%
Fair, margin removed
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Polymarket
Liquid
2.3%
Polymarket 2.9%(2.3% fair)polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liquid
Last price
2.9%
Fair, margin removed
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
DENDELE
1.9%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
DENDELE
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Polymarket
Nemiga
1.6%
Polymarket 2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nemiga
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
TYLOO
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
TYLOO
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: hltv.org

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Spirit
  • MOUZ
  • Vitality

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: Winner". Spirit leads at 23.4%. Next is MOUZ at 16.2%. $6K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 2, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of PGL Masters Bucharest 2026, currently scheduled for October 24, 2026 to October 31, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8050/pgl-masters-bucharest-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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