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What the markets expect
Over 2.5 points 98%
Next is Over 6.5 points at 97.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 2.5 points98%98%98¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 3 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Over 2.5 points98%Kalshi 98%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Over 2.5 points
98%
98%
98¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Over 2.5 points
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $141
Over 6.5 points97.5%97.5%96¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 3 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Over 6.5 points97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Over 6.5 points
97.5%
97.5%
96¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Over 6.5 points
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Over 9.5 points96%96%95¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 3 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Over 9.5 points96%Kalshi 96%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 9.5 points
96%
96%
95¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 9.5 points
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Over 13.5 points89%89%88¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 3 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Over 13.5 points89%Kalshi 89%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 13.5 points
89%
89%
88¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 13.5 points
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Over 16.5 points83%83%81¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 3 min ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Over 16.5 points83%Kalshi 83%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 16.5 points
83%
83%
81¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 16.5 points
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
Over 19.5 points74.5%74.5%73¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 3 min ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Over 19.5 points74.5%Kalshi 74.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Over 19.5 points
74.5%
74.5%
73¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Over 19.5 points
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 19.5 points
- Last price
- 74.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
Over 20.5 points69%69%67¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 3 min ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Over 20.5 points69%Kalshi 69%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Over 20.5 points
69%
69%
67¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Over 20.5 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
Over 23.5 points60%60%58¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 3 min ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Over 23.5 points60%Kalshi 60%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Over 23.5 points
60%
60%
58¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Over 23.5 points
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
Over 27.5 points43%43%41¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 3 min ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Over 27.5 points43%Kalshi 43%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 27.5 points
43%
43%
41¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 27.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 30.5 points34%34%33¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 3 min ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Over 30.5 points34%Kalshi 34%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 30.5 points
34%
34%
33¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 30.5 points
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 30.5 points
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Show 3 more outcomesHide 3 outcomes
Over 34.5 points21.5%21.5%19¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 3 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Over 34.5 points21.5%Kalshi 21.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 34.5 points
21.5%
21.5%
19¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 34.5 points
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 34.5 points
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Over 37.5 points16%16%14¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 3 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Over 37.5 points16%Kalshi 16%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 37.5 points
16%
16%
14¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 37.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 37.5 points
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Over 41.5 points9%9%7¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 41.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 41.5 points
9%
9%
7¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 41.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 41.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 2.5 points
- Over 6.5 points
- Over 9.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL): 1st Half Total". Over 2.5 points leads at 98%. Next is Over 6.5 points at 97.5%. $1K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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