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What the markets expect
Over 3.5 points 97%
Next is Over 7.5 points at 95.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 3.5 points97%97%93¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 15s ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Over 3.5 points97%Kalshi 97%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 3.5 points
97%
97%
93¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 3.5 points
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $209
Over 7.5 points95.5%95.5%94¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 15s ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Over 7.5 points95.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 7.5 points
95.5%
95.5%
94¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 7.5 points
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Over 10.5 points89.5%89.5%88¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 15s ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Over 10.5 points89.5%Kalshi 89.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 10.5 points
89.5%
89.5%
88¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 10.5 points
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 89.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
Over 14.5 points80.5%80.5%80¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 15s ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Over 14.5 points80.5%Kalshi 80.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 14.5 points
80.5%
80.5%
80¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 14.5 points
80.5%
Kalshi 80.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 80.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Over 17.5 points66%66%65¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 15s ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Over 17.5 points66%Kalshi 66%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 17.5 points
66%
66%
65¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 17.5 points
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
Over 20.5 points54.5%54.5%54¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 15s ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Over 20.5 points54.5%Kalshi 54.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Over 20.5 points
54.5%
54.5%
54¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Over 20.5 points
54.5%
Kalshi 54.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 54.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
Over 21.5 points51%51%50¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 15s ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Over 21.5 points51%Kalshi 51%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 21.5 points
51%
51%
50¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 21.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $104
Over 22.5 points48%48%47¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 15s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Over 22.5 points48%Kalshi 48%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 22.5 points
48%
48%
47¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 22.5 points
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 22.5 points
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 24.5 points35%35%35¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 15s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Over 24.5 points35%Kalshi 35%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 24.5 points
35%
35%
35¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Over 24.5 points
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $1
Over 28.5 points23%23%23¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 15s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Over 28.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 28.5 points
23%
23%
23¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 28.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 28.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 4 more outcomesHide 4 outcomes
Over 31.5 points15%15%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 15s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Over 31.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 31.5 points
15%
15%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 31.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 31.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Over 35.5 points8.5%8.5%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 15s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 35.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 35.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 35.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 35.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 38.5 points5.5%5.5%4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 15s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Over 38.5 points5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 38.5 points
5.5%
5.5%
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 38.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 38.5 points
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 42.5 points3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 15s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Over 42.5 points3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Over 42.5 points
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 15s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Over 42.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 42.5 points
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 3.5 points
- Over 7.5 points
- Over 10.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Pittsburgh vs New Orleans: 1st Half Total". Over 3.5 points leads at 97%. Next is Over 7.5 points at 95.5%. $4K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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