The Prediction Markets

Pittsburgh vs New Orleans: Passing Yards

Closes
Oct 27, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Aaron Rodgers: 150+ 88%

Next is Tyler Shough: 150+ at 88%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers: 150+
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers: 150+
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough: 150+
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough: 150+
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers: 175+
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers: 175+
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough: 175+
78.5%
Kalshi 78.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough: 175+
Last price
78.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough: 200+
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough: 200+
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers: 200+
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers: 200+
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough: 225+
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough: 225+
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$830
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers: 225+
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers: 225+
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough: 250+
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough: 250+
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$44
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers: 250+
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers: 250+
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$294
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 8 more outcomes
Aaron Rodgers: 275+
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers: 275+
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough: 275+
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough: 275+
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers: 300+
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers: 300+
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough: 300+
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough: 300+
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers: 325+
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers: 325+
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough: 325+
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough: 325+
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler Shough: 350+
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Shough: 350+
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Rodgers: 350+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Rodgers: 350+
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$45
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Aaron Rodgers: 150+
  • Tyler Shough: 150+
  • Aaron Rodgers: 175+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pittsburgh vs New Orleans: Passing Yards". Aaron Rodgers: 150+ leads at 88%. Next is Tyler Shough: 150+ at 88%. $3K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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