The Prediction Markets

Portland Hearts of Pine vs. Charlotte Independence

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$14K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Portland 51%

Next is Charlotte Independence at 50%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Portland
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Charlotte Independence
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Charlotte Independence
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
3¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (Portland Hearts of Pine vs. Charlotte Independence)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (Portland Hearts of Pine vs. Charlotte Independence)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Portland Hearts of Pine
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Portland Hearts of Pine
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Volume
$67
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlotte
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charlotte
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tie
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$543
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: uslleagueone.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: MLS

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Portland
  • Charlotte Independence
  • Draw (Portland Hearts of Pine vs. Charlotte Independence)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Portland for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Portland Hearts of Pine vs. Charlotte Independence". Portland leads at 51%. Next is Charlotte Independence at 50%. $14K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming USL League One game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Portland Hearts of Pine and Charlotte Independence.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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