The Prediction Markets

Portland to Announce a Relocation before the 2027-28 Season

Closes
Dec 1, 2027, in 13 months
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Will the Portland Pro Basketball team announce they are not relocating or stay in Portland before the start of the 2027-28 regular season? 60.3%

Next is Seattle at 10.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Will the Portland Pro Basketball team announce they are not relocating or stay in Portland before the start of the 2027-28 regular season? 60.3%Seattle 10.5%Kansas City 6.4%St. Louis 4.6%Nashville 3.7%6 others 14.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Will the Portland Pro Basketball team announce they are not relocating or stay in Portland before the start of the 2027-28 regular season?
60.3%
Kalshi 66%(60.3% fair)polled, 41s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will the Portland Pro Basketball team announce they are not relocating or stay in Portland before the start of the 2027-28 regular season?
Last price
66%
Fair, margin removed
60.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$887
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle
10.5%
Kalshi 11.5%(10.5% fair)polled, 41s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle
Last price
11.5%
Fair, margin removed
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kansas City
6.4%
Kalshi 7%(6.4% fair)polled, 41s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kansas City
Last price
7%
Fair, margin removed
6.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
St. Louis
4.6%
Kalshi 5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
St. Louis
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nashville
3.7%
Kalshi 4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nashville
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$293
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay
3.7%
Kalshi 4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tampa Bay
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas
2.7%
Kalshi 3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Diego
2.7%
Kalshi 3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Diego
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Austin
1.8%
Kalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Austin
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Columbus
1.8%
Kalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Columbus
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Pittsburgh
1.8%
Kalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Will the Portland Pro Basketball team announce they are not relocating or stay in Portland before the start of the 2027-28 regular season?
  • Seattle
  • Kansas City

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Portland to Announce a Relocation before the 2027-28 Season". Will the Portland Pro Basketball team announce they are not relocating or stay in Portland before the start of the 2027-28 regular season? leads at 60.3%. Next is Seattle at 10.5%. $3K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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