The Prediction Markets

Portland vs Sacramento: 1st Half Spread

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 2 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 min ago
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What the markets expect

Portland wins by over 1.5 points 65%

Next is Portland wins by over 2.5 points at 62%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Portland wins by over 1.5 points
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland wins by over 2.5 points
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland wins by over 4.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$175
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland wins by over 6.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland wins by over 8.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 8.5 points
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland wins by over 10.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland wins by over 12.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 12.5 points
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento wins by over 1.5 points
25.5%
Kalshi 25.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland wins by over 14.5 points
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento wins by over 3.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 9 more outcomes
Portland wins by over 16.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento wins by over 5.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland wins by over 18.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 18.5 points
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento wins by over 7.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland wins by over 20.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento wins by over 9.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland wins by over 22.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland wins by over 22.5 points
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$128
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento wins by over 11.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento wins by over 13.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Portland wins by over 1.5 points
  • Portland wins by over 2.5 points
  • Portland wins by over 4.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Portland vs Sacramento: 1st Half Spread". Portland wins by over 1.5 points leads at 65%. Next is Portland wins by over 2.5 points at 62%. $1K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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