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What the markets expect
Over 204.5 points 96%
Next is Over 206.5 points at 93%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 204.5 points96%96%94¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Over 204.5 points96%Kalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 204.5 points
96%
96%
94¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 204.5 points
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 204.5 points
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $301
Over 206.5 points93%93%93¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 206.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 206.5 points
93%
93%
93¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 206.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 206.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $302
Over 208.5 points93%93%92¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 208.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 208.5 points
93%
93%
92¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 208.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 208.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 210.5 points91.5%91.5%90¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 1 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Over 210.5 points91.5%Kalshi 91.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 210.5 points
91.5%
91.5%
90¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 210.5 points
91.5%
Kalshi 91.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 210.5 points
- Last price
- 91.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Over 212.5 points89%89%88¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 1 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Over 212.5 points89%Kalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 212.5 points
89%
89%
88¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 212.5 points
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 212.5 points
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Over 214.5 points87%87%86¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 1 min ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Over 214.5 points87%Kalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 214.5 points
87%
87%
86¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 214.5 points
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 214.5 points
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Over 216.5 points84%84%83¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 1 min ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Over 216.5 points84%Kalshi 84%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 216.5 points
84%
84%
83¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 216.5 points
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 216.5 points
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $3
Over 218.5 points80%80%79¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 1 min ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Over 218.5 points80%Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 218.5 points
80%
80%
79¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 218.5 points
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 218.5 points
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $12
Over 220.5 points77%77%76¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 1 min ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Over 220.5 points77%Kalshi 77%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 220.5 points
77%
77%
76¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 220.5 points
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 220.5 points
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $3
Over 222.5 points73%73%72¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 1 min ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Over 222.5 points73%Kalshi 73%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 222.5 points
73%
73%
72¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 222.5 points
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 222.5 points
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 224.5 points69%69%68¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 1 min ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Over 224.5 points69%Kalshi 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Over 224.5 points
69%
69%
68¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Over 224.5 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 224.5 points
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Over 226.5 points65%65%64¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 1 min ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Over 226.5 points65%Kalshi 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Over 226.5 points
65%
65%
64¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Over 226.5 points
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 226.5 points
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Over 228.5 points60.5%60.5%60¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 1 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Over 228.5 points60.5%Kalshi 60.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 228.5 points
60.5%
60.5%
60¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Over 228.5 points
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 228.5 points
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Over 230.5 points56%56%56¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 1 min ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Over 230.5 points56%Kalshi 56%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Over 230.5 points
56%
56%
56¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Over 230.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 230.5 points
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $58
Over 232.5 points51%51%51¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 min ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Over 232.5 points51%Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 232.5 points
51%
51%
51¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 232.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 232.5 points
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 234.5 points47%47%46¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 1 min ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Over 234.5 points47%Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Over 234.5 points
47%
47%
46¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Over 234.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 234.5 points
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Over 236.5 points42.5%42.5%42¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 1 min ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Over 236.5 points42.5%Kalshi 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 236.5 points
42.5%
42.5%
42¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Over 236.5 points
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 236.5 points
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
Over 238.5 points38.5%38.5%37¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 1 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Over 238.5 points38.5%Kalshi 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Over 238.5 points
38.5%
38.5%
37¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Over 238.5 points
38.5%
Kalshi 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 238.5 points
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Over 240.5 points34%34%33¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 1 min ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Over 240.5 points34%Kalshi 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 240.5 points
34%
34%
33¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Over 240.5 points
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 240.5 points
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Over 242.5 points29%29%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 1 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Over 242.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 242.5 points
29%
29%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 242.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 242.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $7
Over 244.5 points25%25%25¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 1 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Over 244.5 points25%Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 244.5 points
25%
25%
25¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 244.5 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 244.5 points
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $125
Over 246.5 points23%23%21¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Over 246.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 246.5 points
23%
23%
21¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 246.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 246.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Over 248.5 points20.5%20.5%19¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 1 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Over 248.5 points20.5%Kalshi 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 248.5 points
20.5%
20.5%
19¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 248.5 points
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 248.5 points
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Over 250.5 points17.5%17.5%16¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 1 min ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Over 250.5 points17.5%Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 250.5 points
17.5%
17.5%
16¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 250.5 points
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 250.5 points
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Over 252.5 points14.5%14.5%13¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Over 252.5 points14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 252.5 points
14.5%
14.5%
13¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 252.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 252.5 points
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Over 254.5 points12%12%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Over 254.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 254.5 points
12%
12%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 254.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 254.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $24
Over 256.5 points10.5%10.5%9¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 1 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Over 256.5 points10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 256.5 points
10.5%
10.5%
9¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 256.5 points
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 256.5 points
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Over 258.5 points9%9%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 258.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 258.5 points
9%
9%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 258.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 258.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 260.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Over 260.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 260.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 260.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 260.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 204.5 points
- Over 206.5 points
- Over 208.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Portland vs Sacramento: Total Points". Over 204.5 points leads at 96%. Next is Over 206.5 points at 93%. $2K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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