The Prediction Markets

PPI YoY in October

Closes
Nov 13, 2026, in 21 days
Traded
$10K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above 6.0% 91%

Next is Above 6.1% at 87%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 6.0%
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.0%
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
90¢
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.1%
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.1%
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.3%
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.3%
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.2%
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.2%
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$75
Trade this on Kalshi
2.6%
78%
Polymarket 78%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.6%
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 6.4%
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.4%
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.5%
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.5%
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.6%
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.6%
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.7%
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.7%
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.8%
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.8%
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 14 more outcomes
3.0%
14.1%
Polymarket 14.1%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 16.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $610 (6.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.0%
Last price
14.1%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16.4¢
Sell Yes
11.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$610 (6.10x)
Volume
$467
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 6.9%
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.9%
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 7.1%
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7.1%
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$131
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 7.0%
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7.0%
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2.7%
5.8%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.7%
Last price
5.8%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$538
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 7.2%
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7.2%
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$315
Trade this on Kalshi
2.5%
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.5%
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 7.3%
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7.3%
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$248
Trade this on Kalshi
2.3%
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.3%
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$266
Trade this on Polymarket
2.4%
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.4%
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$284
Trade this on Polymarket
2.2%
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.2%
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$296
Trade this on Polymarket
3.1%
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.1%
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$304
Trade this on Polymarket
2.8%
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.8%
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$288
Trade this on Polymarket
2.9%
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.9%
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$307
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: bls.gov
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Trading Economics

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 6.0%
  • Above 6.1%
  • Above 6.3%

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 6.0% for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "PPI YoY in October". Above 6.0% leads at 91%. Next is Above 6.1% at 87%. $10K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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