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Trading ended on Oct 15, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 5.6%98%98%49¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 370 h ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Above 5.6%98%Kalshi 98%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above 5.6%
98%
98%
49¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 370 h ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above 5.6%
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 5.6%
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $1K
Above 5.4%95%95%50¢ bid, — askpolled, 370 h agoNo askAbove 5.4%95%Kalshi 95%polled, 370 h ago
Above 5.4%
95%
95%
50¢ bid, — ask
polled, 370 h ago
No ask
Above 5.4%
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 370 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 5.4%
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- Volume
- $234
Above 4.8%93%93%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 370 h agoNo askAbove 4.8%93%Kalshi 93%polled, 370 h ago
Above 4.8%
93%
93%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 370 h ago
No ask
Above 4.8%
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 370 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.8%
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- Volume
- $89
Above 5.3%92%92%64¢ bid, — askpolled, 370 h agoNo askAbove 5.3%92%Kalshi 92%polled, 370 h ago
Above 5.3%
92%
92%
64¢ bid, — ask
polled, 370 h ago
No ask
Above 5.3%
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 370 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 5.3%
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- Volume
- $666
Above 4.7%91%91%88¢ bid, — askpolled, 370 h agoNo askAbove 4.7%91%Kalshi 91%polled, 370 h ago
Above 4.7%
91%
91%
88¢ bid, — ask
polled, 370 h ago
No ask
Above 4.7%
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 370 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.7%
- Last price
- 91%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- Volume
- $398
Above 5.0%88%88%86¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 370 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 5.0%88%Kalshi 88%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 5.0%
88%
88%
86¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 370 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 5.0%
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 5.0%
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $391
Above 4.9%83%83%90¢ bid, — askpolled, 370 h agoNo askAbove 4.9%83%Kalshi 83%polled, 370 h ago
Above 4.9%
83%
83%
90¢ bid, — ask
polled, 370 h ago
No ask
Above 4.9%
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 370 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 4.9%
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- Volume
- $57
Above 5.1%77%77%81¢ bid, — askpolled, 370 h agoNo askAbove 5.1%77%Kalshi 77%polled, 370 h ago
Above 5.1%
77%
77%
81¢ bid, — ask
polled, 370 h ago
No ask
Above 5.1%
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 370 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 5.1%
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- Volume
- $25
Above 5.2%73%73%74¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 370 h ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Above 5.2%73%Kalshi 73%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above 5.2%
73%
73%
74¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 370 h ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above 5.2%
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 5.2%
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $111
Above 6.0%50%50%No order bookpolled, 370 h agoNo askAbove 6.0%50%Kalshi 50%polled, 370 h ago
Above 6.0%
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 370 h ago
No ask
Above 6.0%
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 370 h ago
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
Above 6.1%50%50%No order bookpolled, 370 h agoNo askAbove 6.1%50%Kalshi 50%polled, 370 h ago
Above 6.1%
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 370 h ago
No ask
Above 6.1%
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 370 h ago
Above 6.2%50%50%No order bookpolled, 370 h agoNo askAbove 6.2%50%Kalshi 50%polled, 370 h ago
Above 6.2%
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 370 h ago
No ask
Above 6.2%
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 370 h ago
Above 5.7%41%41%37¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 370 h ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Above 5.7%41%Kalshi 41%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Above 5.7%
41%
41%
37¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 370 h ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Above 5.7%
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 5.7%
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $417
Above 5.5%35%35%52¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 370 h ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Above 5.5%35%Kalshi 35%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above 5.5%
35%
35%
52¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 370 h ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Above 5.5%
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 5.5%
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $514
Above 5.8%30%30%30¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 370 h ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Above 5.8%30%Kalshi 30%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Above 5.8%
30%
30%
30¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 370 h ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Above 5.8%
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 5.8%
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $2K
Above 5.9%7%7%3¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 370 h ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Above 5.9%7%Kalshi 7%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Above 5.9%
7%
7%
3¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 370 h ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Above 5.9%
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 370 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 5.9%
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $286
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Trading Economics
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 5.6%
- Above 5.4%
- Above 4.8%
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "PPI YoY in September". Above 5.6% last traded at 98%. Next is Above 5.4% at 95%. $6K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 15, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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