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What the markets expect
Chelsea 23.6%
Next is Arsenal at 21.9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Chelsea23.6%21.5%23.6% fair14¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 47s ago29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Chelsea23.6%Polymarket 21.5%(23.6% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Chelsea
23.6%
21.5%
23.6% fair
14¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
29¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Chelsea
23.6%
Polymarket 21.5%(23.6% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chelsea
- Last price
- 21.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 23.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $845
Arsenal21.9%20%22% fair14¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 47s ago26¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Arsenal21.9%Polymarket 20%(22% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Arsenal
21.9%
20%
22% fair
14¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
26¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Arsenal
21.9%
Polymarket 20%(22% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Arsenal
- Last price
- 20%
- Fair, margin removed
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $1K
Liverpool19.2%17.5%19.2% fair9¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 47s ago26¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Liverpool19.2%Polymarket 17.5%(19.2% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Liverpool
19.2%
17.5%
19.2% fair
9¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
26¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Liverpool
19.2%
Polymarket 17.5%(19.2% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liverpool
- Last price
- 17.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 19.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $1K
Manchester City18.1%16.5%18.1% fair14¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 47s ago19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Manchester City18.1%Polymarket 16.5%(18.1% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Manchester City
18.1%
16.5%
18.1% fair
14¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Manchester City
18.1%
Polymarket 16.5%(18.1% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Manchester City
- Last price
- 16.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 18.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $6K
Brighton & Hove Albion6%5.5%6% fair5.2¢ bid, 5.7¢ askpolled, 47s ago5.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)Brighton & Hove Albion6%Polymarket 5.5%(6% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Brighton & Hove Albion
6%
5.5%
6% fair
5.2¢ bid, 5.7¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
5.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Brighton & Hove Albion
6%
Polymarket 5.5%(6% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brighton & Hove Albion
- Last price
- 5.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,754 (17.5x)
- Volume
- $990
Brentford5%4.6%1¢ bid, 8.1¢ askpolled, 47s ago8.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)Brentford5%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Brentford
5%
4.6%
1¢ bid, 8.1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
8.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Brentford
5%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 8.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,235 (12.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brentford
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,235 (12.3x)
- Volume
- $974
Manchester United3%2.7%0.5¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 47s ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Manchester United3%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Manchester United
3%
2.7%
0.5¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Manchester United
3%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Manchester United
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $1K
Aston Villa0.9%0.9%0.5¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 47s ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Aston Villa0.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Aston Villa
0.9%
0.9%
0.5¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Aston Villa
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Aston Villa
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Leeds United0.9%0.8%0.6¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Leeds United0.9%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Leeds United
0.9%
0.8%
0.6¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Leeds United
0.9%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Leeds United
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $920
Tottenham Hotspur0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 47s ago0.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $12,500 (125x)Tottenham Hotspur0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Tottenham Hotspur
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
0.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Tottenham Hotspur
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tottenham Hotspur
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
Sunderland0.3%0.3%— bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 47s ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Sunderland0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Sunderland
0.3%
0.3%
— bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Sunderland
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sunderland
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $336
Fulham0.2%0.2%— bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 47s ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Fulham0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Fulham
0.2%
0.2%
— bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Fulham
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fulham
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $356
Bournemouth0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 47s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Bournemouth0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Bournemouth
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Bournemouth
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bournemouth
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $297
Coventry City0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 47s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Coventry City0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Coventry City
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Coventry City
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Coventry City
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $336
Crystal Palace0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 47s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Crystal Palace0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Crystal Palace
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Crystal Palace
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Crystal Palace
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $297
Everton0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 47s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Everton0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Everton
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Everton
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Everton
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $336
Hull City0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 47s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Hull City0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Hull City
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Hull City
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hull City
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $426
Ipswich Town0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 47s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ipswich Town0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ipswich Town
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ipswich Town
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ipswich Town
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $384
Newcastle United0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 47s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Newcastle United0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Newcastle United
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Newcastle United
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Newcastle United
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $336
Nottingham Forest0%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 47s ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Nottingham Forest0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Nottingham Forest
0%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Nottingham Forest
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nottingham Forest
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $336
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: premierleague.com
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Chelsea
- Arsenal
- Liverpool
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Premier League: 2026-27 Runner-Up". Chelsea leads at 23.6%. Next is Arsenal at 21.9%. $19K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Premier League for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Premier League for the 2026-27 season per the rules of Premier League (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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