The Prediction Markets

Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Jun 30, 2026?

Closed
Jul 1, 2026
Traded
$16K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Jul 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above $2.19
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.19
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.39
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.39
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.79
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.79
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$817
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.59
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.59
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $1.99
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $1.99
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$269
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.19
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.19
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$380
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $2.99
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2.99
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$409
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.39
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.39
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$870
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.19
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.19
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$341
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.39
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.39
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
Above $4.99
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.99
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$484
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.79
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.79
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$953
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.59
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.59
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$743
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.79
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.79
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.59
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.59
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$810
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.79
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.79
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$323
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.59
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.59
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$597
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.39
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.39
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$848
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.19
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.19
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$518
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.99
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3018 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.99
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$660
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Ornn

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above $2.19
  • Above $2.39
  • Above $2.79

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Jun 30, 2026?". Above $2.19 last traded at 99%. Next is Above $2.39 at 95%. $16K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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