The Prediction Markets

Primera Nacional (Argentina): 2026 Runner-Up

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Ferro Carril Oeste 49.5%

Next is Temperley at 49.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Ferro Carril Oeste
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ferro Carril Oeste
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Temperley
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Temperley
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlanta
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlanta
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo Madryn
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo Madryn
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Godoy Cruz
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Godoy Cruz
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tristán Suárez
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tristán Suárez
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Deportivo Morón
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deportivo Morón
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Colegiales
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colegiales
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Colón
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colón
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta)
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta)
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Polymarket
Ferrocarril Midland
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ferrocarril Midland
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: afa.com.ar

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Ferro Carril Oeste
  • Temperley
  • Atlanta

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Primera Nacional (Argentina): 2026 Runner-Up". Ferro Carril Oeste leads at 49.5%. Next is Temperley at 49.5%. $2K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Primera Nacional (Argentina) for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Primera Nacional (Argentina) for the 2026 season per the rules of Primera Nacional (Argentina) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Primera Nacional (Argentina); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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