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Trading ended on Jun 5, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Bobby Witt Jr.35.9%43%35.8% fair34¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Bobby Witt Jr.35.9%Kalshi 43%(35.8% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Bobby Witt Jr.
35.9%
43%
35.8% fair
34¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Bobby Witt Jr.
35.9%
Kalshi 43%(35.8% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- Last price
- 43%
- Fair, margin removed
- 35.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cody Bellinger14.2%17%14.2% fair10¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Cody Bellinger14.2%Kalshi 17%(14.2% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Cody Bellinger
14.2%
17%
14.2% fair
10¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Cody Bellinger
14.2%
Kalshi 17%(14.2% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cody Bellinger
- Last price
- 17%
- Fair, margin removed
- 14.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $2K
Aaron Judge10.9%13%10.8% fair5¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Aaron Judge10.9%Kalshi 13%(10.8% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Aaron Judge
10.9%
13%
10.8% fair
5¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Aaron Judge
10.9%
Kalshi 13%(10.8% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Judge
- Last price
- 13%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $723
Ben Rice6.7%8%6.7% fair— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Ben Rice6.7%Kalshi 8%(6.7% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ben Rice
6.7%
8%
6.7% fair
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ben Rice
6.7%
Kalshi 8%(6.7% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ben Rice
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 6.7%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $227
Shea Langeliers5.9%7%5.8% fair— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Shea Langeliers5.9%Kalshi 7%(5.8% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Shea Langeliers
5.9%
7%
5.8% fair
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Shea Langeliers
5.9%
Kalshi 7%(5.8% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shea Langeliers
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $531
Zach Neto5%6%5% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Zach Neto5%Kalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Zach Neto
5%
6%
5% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Zach Neto
5%
Kalshi 6%(5% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zach Neto
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1
Nick Kurtz4.2%5%4.2% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Nick Kurtz4.2%Kalshi 5%(4.2% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nick Kurtz
4.2%
5%
4.2% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nick Kurtz
4.2%
Kalshi 5%(4.2% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nick Kurtz
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7
Cole Young2.5%3%2.5% fair— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cole Young2.5%Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cole Young
2.5%
3%
2.5% fair
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cole Young
2.5%
Kalshi 3%(2.5% fair)polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Young
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $336
Chase DeLauter1.7%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chase DeLauter1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chase DeLauter
1.7%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chase DeLauter
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase DeLauter
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $32
Randy Arozarena1.7%2%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Randy Arozarena1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Randy Arozarena
1.7%
2%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Randy Arozarena
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Randy Arozarena
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $220
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Brandon Nimmo0.9%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Brandon Nimmo0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Brandon Nimmo
0.9%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Brandon Nimmo
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brandon Nimmo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Chandler Simpson0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chandler Simpson0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chandler Simpson
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chandler Simpson
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chandler Simpson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Christian Walker0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Christian Walker0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Christian Walker
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Christian Walker
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Walker
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Gunnar Henderson0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Gunnar Henderson0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gunnar Henderson
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gunnar Henderson
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gunnar Henderson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Jo Adell0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Jo Adell0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jo Adell
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jo Adell
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jo Adell
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Jose Altuve0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Jose Altuve0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jose Altuve
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jose Altuve
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jose Altuve
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
José Ramírez0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)José Ramírez0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
José Ramírez
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
José Ramírez
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- José Ramírez
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Mike Trout0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Mike Trout0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Mike Trout
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Mike Trout
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mike Trout
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Roman Anthony0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Roman Anthony0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Roman Anthony
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Roman Anthony
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Roman Anthony
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Taylor Ward0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Taylor Ward0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Taylor Ward
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Taylor Ward
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Taylor Ward
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Vladimir Guerrero Jr.0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Wilyer Abreu0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Wilyer Abreu0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Wilyer Abreu
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Wilyer Abreu
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wilyer Abreu
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Yandy Díaz0.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Yandy Díaz0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yandy Díaz
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Yandy Díaz
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yandy Díaz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Yordan Alvarez0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3830 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yordan Alvarez0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yordan Alvarez
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3830 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yordan Alvarez
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3830 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yordan Alvarez
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $118
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange)
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- Cody Bellinger
- Aaron Judge
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Pro Baseball American League Player of the Month (May)". Bobby Witt Jr. last traded at 35.9%. Next is Cody Bellinger at 14.2%. $6K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jun 5, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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