The Prediction Markets

Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner

Closes
Dec 8, 2026, in 46 days
Traded
$8.3M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
5 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Milwaukee Brewers 63.1%

Next is Tampa Bay Rays at 37.1%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Milwaukee Brewers
63.1%
Polymarket 63.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 63.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $158 (1.58x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers
Last price
63.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
63.1¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$158 (1.58x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays
37.1%
Polymarket 37.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 37.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $269 (2.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays
Last price
37.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
37.2¢
Sell Yes
36.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$269 (2.69x)
Volume
$148K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jackson Chourio
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jackson Chourio
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$87K
Trade this on Kalshi
William Contreras
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
William Contreras
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$93K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacob Misiorowski
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Misiorowski
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
9.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$58K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brice Turang
9.1%
Kalshi 9.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brice Turang
Last price
9.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
9.1¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,099 (11.0x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
Junior Caminero
9.1%
Kalshi 9.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Junior Caminero
Last price
9.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
9.1¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,099 (11.0x)
Volume
$57K
Trade this on Kalshi
Yandy Díaz
8.6%
Kalshi 8.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yandy Díaz
Last price
8.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8.6¢
Sell Yes
8.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,163 (11.6x)
Volume
$42K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jake Bauers
7.1%
Kalshi 7.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jake Bauers
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
6.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
Drew Rasmussen
5.1%
Kalshi 5.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Rasmussen
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 32 more outcomes
Christian Yelich
4.3%
Kalshi 4.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Christian Yelich
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
4.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$61K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jonathan Aranda
3.7%
Kalshi 3.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Aranda
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
3.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
Garrett Mitchell
3.3%
Kalshi 3.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Garrett Mitchell
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$49K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chandler Simpson
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chandler Simpson
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$78K
Trade this on Kalshi
Freddy Peralta
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Freddy Peralta
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Ashby
1.8%
Kalshi 1.8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Ashby
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$55K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cooper Pratt
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cooper Pratt
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Kalshi
Liam Hicks
1.2%
Kalshi 1.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Liam Hicks
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Andrew Vaughn
1.1%
Kalshi 1.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andrew Vaughn
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sal Frelick
0.9%
Kalshi 0.9%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sal Frelick
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$61K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jonny DeLuca
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jonny DeLuca
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Trevor Megill
0.7%
Kalshi 0.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trevor Megill
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
Abner Uribe
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Abner Uribe
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Luis Lara
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luis Lara
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$35K
Trade this on Kalshi
Joey Ortiz
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joey Ortiz
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nick Martinez
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Martinez
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Robert Gasser
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Kalshi
Contract
Robert Gasser
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryan Baker
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bryan Baker
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cedric Mullins
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cedric Mullins
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
Shane Drohan
0.4%
Kalshi 0.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shane Drohan
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
DL Hall
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Kalshi
Contract
DL Hall
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dustin May
0.3%
Kalshi 0.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dustin May
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Griffin Jax
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
Griffin Jax
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cade Smith
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cade Smith
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$39K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chase DeLauter
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chase DeLauter
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Kalshi
Gavin Williams
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gavin Williams
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jo Adell
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jo Adell
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
José Ramírez
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
José Ramírez
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$60K
Trade this on Kalshi
Shane McClanahan
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shane McClanahan
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Steven Kwan
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Steven Kwan
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tanner Bibee
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tanner Bibee
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Travis Bazzana
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Bazzana
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Milwaukee Brewers
  • Tampa Bay Rays
  • Jackson Chourio

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Milwaukee Brewers for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner". Milwaukee Brewers leads at 63.1%. Next is Tampa Bay Rays at 37.1%. $8.3M has traded across 42 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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