Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
This market has closed
Trading ended on Aug 5, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Aroldis Chapman75%75%75¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Aroldis Chapman75%Kalshi 75%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Aroldis Chapman
75%
75%
75¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Aroldis Chapman
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aroldis Chapman
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $5K
Sonny Gray64%64%55¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Sonny Gray64%Kalshi 64%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Sonny Gray
64%
64%
55¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Sonny Gray
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sonny Gray
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $132
Tarik Skubal64%64%59¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Tarik Skubal64%Kalshi 64%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Tarik Skubal
64%
64%
59¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Tarik Skubal
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tarik Skubal
- Last price
- 64%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $4K
Luis Arraez55%55%52¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Luis Arraez55%Kalshi 55%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Luis Arraez
55%
55%
52¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Luis Arraez
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Luis Arraez
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $21
Matt Chapman55%55%35¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Matt Chapman55%Kalshi 55%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Matt Chapman
55%
55%
35¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Matt Chapman
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matt Chapman
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $8
Sandy Alcantara53%53%48¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Sandy Alcantara53%Kalshi 53%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Sandy Alcantara
53%
53%
48¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Sandy Alcantara
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sandy Alcantara
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $373
Jarren Duran46%46%35¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Jarren Duran46%Kalshi 46%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Jarren Duran
46%
46%
35¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Jarren Duran
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jarren Duran
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $287
Willy Adames43.5%43.5%33¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Willy Adames43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Willy Adames
43.5%
43.5%
33¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Willy Adames
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Willy Adames
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
Christian Walker42%42%42¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Christian Walker42%Kalshi 42%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Christian Walker
42%
42%
42¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Christian Walker
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Walker
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $2K
Luis Severino41%41%30¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Luis Severino41%Kalshi 41%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Luis Severino
41%
41%
30¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Luis Severino
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Luis Severino
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $2
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Willson Contreras41%41%37¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Willson Contreras41%Kalshi 41%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Willson Contreras
41%
41%
37¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Willson Contreras
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Willson Contreras
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $209
Joe Ryan40%40%40¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Joe Ryan40%Kalshi 40%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Joe Ryan
40%
40%
40¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Joe Ryan
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Ryan
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $432
Rafael Devers40%40%29¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Rafael Devers40%Kalshi 40%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Rafael Devers
40%
40%
29¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Rafael Devers
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rafael Devers
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
Luis Castillo35%35%25¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Luis Castillo35%Kalshi 35%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Luis Castillo
35%
35%
25¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Luis Castillo
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Luis Castillo
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $728
Adley Rutschman27%27%18¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Adley Rutschman27%Kalshi 27%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Adley Rutschman
27%
27%
18¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Adley Rutschman
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Adley Rutschman
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $525
Jo Adell27%27%27¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Jo Adell27%Kalshi 27%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Jo Adell
27%
27%
27¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Jo Adell
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jo Adell
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $552
Steven Kwan20%20%28¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Steven Kwan20%Kalshi 20%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Steven Kwan
20%
20%
28¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Steven Kwan
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Steven Kwan
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $78
Jose Berrios19%19%18¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Jose Berrios19%Kalshi 19%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Jose Berrios
19%
19%
18¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Jose Berrios
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jose Berrios
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $10
Hunter Greene17.5%17.5%14¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Hunter Greene17.5%Kalshi 17.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Hunter Greene
17.5%
17.5%
14¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Hunter Greene
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hunter Greene
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Jazz Chisholm Jr.15%15%10¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Jazz Chisholm Jr.15%Kalshi 15%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
15%
15%
10¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $577
Randy Arozarena14%14%9¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Randy Arozarena14%Kalshi 14%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Randy Arozarena
14%
14%
9¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Randy Arozarena
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Randy Arozarena
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $105
Fernando Tatis Jr.10%10%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Fernando Tatis Jr.10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
10%
10%
11¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $1K
Gunnar Henderson8%8%13¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Gunnar Henderson8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Gunnar Henderson
8%
8%
13¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Gunnar Henderson
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gunnar Henderson
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $86
Zac Gallen8%8%15¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Zac Gallen8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Zac Gallen
8%
8%
15¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Zac Gallen
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zac Gallen
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $306
Yandy Diaz6%6%12¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3024 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Yandy Diaz6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Yandy Diaz
6%
6%
12¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3024 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Yandy Diaz
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yandy Diaz
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $918
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Bleacher Report, The Athletic
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Aroldis Chapman
- Sonny Gray
- Tarik Skubal
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Pro Baseball: Players Traded". Aroldis Chapman last traded at 75%. Next is Sonny Gray at 64%. $18K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Aug 5, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli98.2%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco15%$196.3M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee65.5%$134.1M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia17%$63.9M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$45.4M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen27%$36.8M traded