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Trading ended on Jul 2, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Caleb Wilson70.5%79%70.5% fair79¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Caleb Wilson70.5%Kalshi 79%(70.5% fair)polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Caleb Wilson
70.5%
79%
70.5% fair
79¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Caleb Wilson
70.5%
Kalshi 79%(70.5% fair)polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Wilson
- Last price
- 79%
- Fair, margin removed
- 70.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $23K
Cameron Boozer7.1%8%7.1% fair8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Cameron Boozer7.1%Kalshi 8%(7.1% fair)polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Cameron Boozer
7.1%
8%
7.1% fair
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Cameron Boozer
7.1%
Kalshi 8%(7.1% fair)polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cameron Boozer
- Last price
- 8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $10K
Darius Acuff Jr.4.5%5%4.5% fair1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Darius Acuff Jr.4.5%Kalshi 5%(4.5% fair)polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Darius Acuff Jr.
4.5%
5%
4.5% fair
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Darius Acuff Jr.
4.5%
Kalshi 5%(4.5% fair)polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Darius Acuff Jr.
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $10K
Darryn Peterson4.5%5%4.5% fair4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Darryn Peterson4.5%Kalshi 5%(4.5% fair)polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Darryn Peterson
4.5%
5%
4.5% fair
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Darryn Peterson
4.5%
Kalshi 5%(4.5% fair)polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Darryn Peterson
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $12K
Aday Mara0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Aday Mara0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Aday Mara
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Aday Mara
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aday Mara
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $555
AJ Dybantsa0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)AJ Dybantsa0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
AJ Dybantsa
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
AJ Dybantsa
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- AJ Dybantsa
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $754
Bennett Stirtz0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bennett Stirtz0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bennett Stirtz
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bennett Stirtz
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bennett Stirtz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $16
Brayden Burries0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Brayden Burries0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brayden Burries
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brayden Burries
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brayden Burries
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $16
Cameron Carr0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cameron Carr0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cameron Carr
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cameron Carr
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cameron Carr
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $16
Christian Anderson0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Christian Anderson0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christian Anderson
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christian Anderson
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Anderson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $13
Show 13 more outcomesHide 13 outcomes
Karim Lopez0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Karim Lopez0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Karim Lopez
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Karim Lopez
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Karim Lopez
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $80
Keaton Wagler0.9%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Keaton Wagler0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Keaton Wagler
0.9%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Keaton Wagler
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keaton Wagler
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kingston Flemings0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kingston Flemings0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kingston Flemings
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kingston Flemings
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kingston Flemings
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $435
Mikel Brown Jr.0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mikel Brown Jr.0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mikel Brown Jr.
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mikel Brown Jr.
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mikel Brown Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Yaxel Lendeborg0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yaxel Lendeborg0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yaxel Lendeborg
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yaxel Lendeborg
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yaxel Lendeborg
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $674
Chris Cenac Jr.0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Chris Cenac Jr.0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chris Cenac Jr.
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chris Cenac Jr.
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Cenac Jr.
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Hannes Steinbach0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Hannes Steinbach0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hannes Steinbach
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hannes Steinbach
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hannes Steinbach
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Isaiah Evans0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Isaiah Evans0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Isaiah Evans
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Isaiah Evans
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Isaiah Evans
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Jayden Quaintance0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jayden Quaintance0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jayden Quaintance
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jayden Quaintance
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jayden Quaintance
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Koa Peat0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Koa Peat0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Koa Peat
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Koa Peat
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Koa Peat
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Labaron Philon Jr.0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Labaron Philon Jr.0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Labaron Philon Jr.
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Labaron Philon Jr.
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Labaron Philon Jr.
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Mikel Brown Jr.Kalshi: “Morez Johnson Jr.”0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mikel Brown Jr.0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mikel Brown Jr.
Kalshi: “Morez Johnson Jr.”
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mikel Brown Jr.
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Morez Johnson Jr.
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Nate Ament0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3033 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nate Ament0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nate Ament
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3033 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nate Ament
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3033 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nate Ament
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, Fox Sports, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Caleb Wilson
- Cameron Boozer
- Darius Acuff Jr.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Pro Basketball #4 Overall Pick". Caleb Wilson last traded at 70.5%. Next is Cameron Boozer at 7.1%. $61K has traded across 23 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 2, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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