The Prediction Markets

Pro Basketball: Boston Total Wins

Closes
May 8, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$43K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

25+ wins 99%

Next is 20+ wins at 98%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
25+ wins
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
Contract
25+ wins
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
88¢
Volume
$55
Trade this on Kalshi
20+ wins
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, just now
Kalshi
Contract
20+ wins
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
30+ wins
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, just now
Kalshi
Contract
30+ wins
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
87¢
Volume
$180
Trade this on Kalshi
40+ wins
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
40+ wins
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$589
Trade this on Kalshi
35+ wins
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
35+ wins
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
45+ wins
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, just nowBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
45+ wins
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
50+ wins
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
50+ wins
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
55+ wins
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, just nowBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
55+ wins
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
60+ wins
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, just nowBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
60+ wins
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
65+ wins
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
65+ wins
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$589
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 25+ wins
  • 20+ wins
  • 30+ wins

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Basketball: Boston Total Wins". 25+ wins leads at 99%. Next is 20+ wins at 98%. $43K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by May 8, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all sports markets