The Prediction Markets

Pro Basketball Coach of the Year Winner

Closes
Aug 2, 2027, in 9 months
Traded
$112K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy 15.6%

Next is Brian Keefe at 10.6%. The venues differ most on Brian Keefe (Polymarket 18.3%, Kalshi 3%), a 15-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy
15.6%
Polymarket 11.4%polled, 41s agoKalshi 17%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 13.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $725 (7.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Will Hardy
Last price
11.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.8¢
Sell Yes
8.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$725 (7.25x)
Volume
$243
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13.8¢.

Brian Keefe
10.6%
Polymarket 18.3%polled, 41s agoKalshi 3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brian Keefe
Last price
18.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35.4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$282 (2.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brian Keefe
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Doug Christie
8.1%
Polymarket 15.7%polled, 41s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Doug Christie
Last price
15.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$321 (3.21x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Doug Christie
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Sean SweeneyArb
8%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 41s agoKalshi 9%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sean Sweeney
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$614
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sean Sweeney
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Polymarket at 6.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 8¢ nets 110 bps before fees.

David Adelman
7.6%
Polymarket 14.2%polled, 41s agoKalshi 1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Adelman
Last price
14.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$356 (3.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
David Adelman
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Tyronn LueArb
7.5%
Polymarket 14%polled, 41s agoKalshi 1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyronn Lue
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22.9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$437 (4.37x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyronn Lue
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 5¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

Rick Carlisle
7.3%
Polymarket 8.4%polled, 41s agoKalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rick Carlisle
Last price
8.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.6¢
Sell Yes
6.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$943 (9.43x)
Volume
$464
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rick Carlisle
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Quin Snyder
7.2%
Polymarket 11.4%polled, 41s agoKalshi 3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Quin Snyder
Last price
11.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$442 (4.42x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Quin Snyder
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Jordi Fernández
7%
Polymarket 12%polled, 41s agoKalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordi Fernandez
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$424 (4.24x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordi Fernández
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Erik SpoelstraArb
6.7%
Polymarket 9%polled, 41s agoKalshi 6%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Erik Spoelstra
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Erik Spoelstra
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 6¢ and selling on Polymarket at 6.9¢ nets 90 bps before fees.

Show 20 more outcomes
Kenny Atkinson
6.7%
Polymarket 11.4%polled, 41s agoKalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kenny Atkinson
Last price
11.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$444 (4.44x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kenny Atkinson
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$161
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Chris Finch
6.5%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 41s agoKalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Finch
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Finch
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Steve Kerr
6.5%
Polymarket 10.9%polled, 41s agoKalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Steve Kerr
Last price
10.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$465 (4.65x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Steve Kerr
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$113
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Nick Nurse
6.4%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 41s agoKalshi 6%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nick Nurse
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$382
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Nurse
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

J.B. BickerstaffArb
6%
Polymarket 12%polled, 41s agoKalshi 4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
J.B. Bickerstaff
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$321
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
J.B. Bickerstaff
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 4¢ and selling on Polymarket at 10¢ nets 600 bps before fees.

Darko RajakovićArb
6%
Polymarket 12%polled, 41s agoKalshi 4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Darko Rajakovic
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Darko Rajaković
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 10¢ and selling on Polymarket at 10.9¢ nets 90 bps before fees.

Ime UdokaArb
5.5%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, 41s agoKalshi 5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ime Udoka
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ime Udoka
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 7¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Mike BrownArb
5.4%
Polymarket 9.6%polled, 41s agoKalshi 4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Brown
Last price
9.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$451
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Brown
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 4¢ and selling on Polymarket at 7.2¢ nets 320 bps before fees.

Joe Mazzulla
5.4%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 41s agoKalshi 5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Mazzulla
Last price
5.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$877 (8.77x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Joe Mazzulla
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Tuomas Iisalo
5.2%
Polymarket 12%polled, 41s agoKalshi 3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tuomas Iisalo
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22.7¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$441 (4.41x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tuomas Iisalo
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Micah Nori
4.6%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 41s agoKalshi 5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Micah Nori
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Micah Nori
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

JJ Redick
4.5%
Polymarket 4%polled, 41s agoKalshi 5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
JJ Redick
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
JJ Redick
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Charles Lee
3.5%
Polymarket 4%polled, 41s agoKalshi 3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charles Lee
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Lee
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Mitch Johnson
3.3%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 41s agoKalshi 3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mitch Johnson
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mitch Johnson
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Mark Daigneault
2.8%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 41s agoKalshi 3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Daigneault
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mark Daigneault
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Taylor Jenkins
2.5%
Polymarket 3%polled, 41s agoKalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taylor Jenkins
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Taylor Jenkins
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$390
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Tiago Splitter
2.5%
Polymarket 3%polled, 41s agoKalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tiago Splitter
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tiago Splitter
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Jamahl Mosley
2.3%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 41s agoKalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jamahl Mosley
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jamahl Mosley
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Jordan Ott
2.3%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 41s agoKalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Ott
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Ott
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Dusty May
2%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 41s agoKalshi 1%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dusty May
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dusty May
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$767
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy J.B. Bickerstaff on Kalshi at 4¢, sell on Polymarket at 10¢ (600 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: 4 differences

Where they differ

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
  • Trading closes Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Aug 2, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy
  • Brian Keefe
  • Doug Christie

Live prices for Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Basketball Coach of the Year Winner". Pro Basketball Coach of the Year: Will Hardy leads at 15.6%. Next is Brian Keefe at 10.6%. $112K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 2, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets