The Prediction Markets

Pro Basketball Defensive Player of the Year Winner

Closes
Jun 30, 2028, in 21 months
Traded
$68K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Victor Wembanyama 69.8%

Next is Ausar Thompson at 9.1%. The venues differ most on Dyson Daniels (Polymarket 2.9%, Kalshi 8%), a 5.1-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Victor WembanyamaArb
69.8%
Polymarket 72%polled, 19s agoKalshi 69%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Victor Wembanyama
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$361
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Victor Wembanyama
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 69¢ and selling on Polymarket at 70¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Ausar Thompson
9.1%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 19s agoKalshi 10%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ausar Thompson
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ausar Thompson
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7.5¢.

Chet Holmgren
7.7%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 19s agoKalshi 8%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chet Holmgren
Last price
6.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$763 (7.63x)
Volume
$327
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chet Holmgren
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Dyson Daniels
6.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 19s agoKalshi 8%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dyson Daniels
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dyson Daniels
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.7¢.

Walker Kessler
3.7%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 19s agoKalshi 4%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Walker Kessler
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Walker Kessler
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Jaren Jackson Jr.
3.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$175
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$331
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Rudy Gobert
2.9%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 19s agoKalshi 3%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rudy Gobert
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rudy Gobert
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Scottie Barnes
2.9%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 19s agoKalshi 3%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Scottie Barnes
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Scottie Barnes
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Zach Edey
2.9%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 3%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zach Edey
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Zach Edey
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.8¢.

Jaylen Brown
2.9%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaylen Brown
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,205 (12.0x)
Volume
$272
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaylen Brown
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Show 38 more outcomes
Dillon Brooks
2.7%
Polymarket 5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dillon Brooks
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dillon Brooks
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Ivica Zubac
2.3%
Polymarket 4%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ivica Zubac
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ivica Zubac
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Isaiah Hartenstein
2.2%
Polymarket 4%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Isaiah Hartenstein
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Isaiah Hartenstein
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Evan Mobley
2.2%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 19s agoKalshi 2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Evan Mobley
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Evan Mobley
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Amen Thompson
2.2%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 19s agoKalshi 2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amen Thompson
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Amen Thompson
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Bam Adebayo
2.1%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 19s agoKalshi 2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bam Adebayo
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bam Adebayo
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Donovan Clingan
1.9%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Donovan Clingan
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Donovan Clingan
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Alex Caruso
1.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alex Caruso
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Caruso
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Draymond Green
1.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draymond Green
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Draymond Green
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jimmy Butler
1.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jimmy Butler III
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jimmy Butler
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jrue Holiday
1.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jrue Holiday
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jrue Holiday
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Tari Eason
1.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tari Eason
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tari Eason
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

LeBron James
1.6%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
LeBron James
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
LeBron James
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Daniel Gafford
1.6%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daniel Gafford
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Gafford
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Kawhi Leonard
1.6%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kawhi Leonard
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kawhi Leonard
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jalen Suggs
1.6%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Suggs
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Suggs
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Marcus Smart
1.6%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marcus Smart
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Smart
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Ryan Kalkbrenner
1.6%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ryan Kalkbrenner
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Kalkbrenner
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Wendell Carter Jr.
1.5%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wendell Carter Jr.
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wendell Carter Jr.
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

OG Anunoby
1.5%
Polymarket 3%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
OG Anunoby
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
OG Anunoby
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Luguentz Dort
1.5%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Luguentz Dort
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Luguentz Dort
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Anthony Davis
1.4%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthony Davis
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Anthony Davis
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$681
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.4¢.

Cooper Flagg
1.4%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cooper Flagg
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cooper Flagg
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$433
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jaden McDaniels
1.4%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaden McDaniels
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaden McDaniels
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jalen Williams
1.4%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Williams
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Williams
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Derrick White
1.3%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Derrick White
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick White
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Herbert Jones
1.3%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Herbert Jones
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Herbert Jones
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jayson Tatum
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayson Tatum
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jayson Tatum
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Kristaps Porzingis
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristaps Porzingis
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kristaps Porzingis
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Mikal Bridges
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mikal Bridges
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mikal Bridges
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Mitchell Robinson
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mitchell Robinson
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mitchell Robinson
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Paolo Banchero
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paolo Banchero
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Paolo Banchero
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Giannis Antetokounmpo
1.3%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Alex Sarr
1.3%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 19s agoKalshi 1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alex Sarr
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Sarr
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$124
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Toumani Camara
1.3%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toumani Camara
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Toumani Camara
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Myles Turner
1.3%
Polymarket 2%polled, 19s agoKalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Myles Turner
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Myles Turner
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Tie/Co-Winners
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie/Co-Winners
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Victor Wembanyama on Kalshi at 69¢, sell on Polymarket at 70¢ (100 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: 4 differences

Where they differ

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
  • Awards: Kalshi and Polymarket both settle on the official award announcement; ties or shared awards are handled differently (Kalshi per contract rules, Polymarket split).
  • Trading closes Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 30, 2028, 10:23 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Victor Wembanyama
  • Ausar Thompson
  • Chet Holmgren

Live prices for Victor Wembanyama

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Basketball Defensive Player of the Year Winner". Victor Wembanyama leads at 69.8%. Next is Ausar Thompson at 9.1%. $68K has traded across 48 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 30, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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