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What the markets expect
Oklahoma City 98%
Next is San Antonio at 97%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Oklahoma City98%98%93¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, just now98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Oklahoma City98%Kalshi 98%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Oklahoma City
98%
98%
93¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, just now
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Oklahoma City
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma City
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $647
San Antonio97%97%94¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, just now97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)San Antonio97%Kalshi 97%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
San Antonio
97%
97%
94¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, just now
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
San Antonio
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, just nowBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Antonio
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $2K
New York89%89%89¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, just now90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)New York89%Kalshi 89%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
New York
89%
89%
89¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, just now
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
New York
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $4K
Minnesota88%88%86¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, just now88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Minnesota88%Kalshi 88%polled, just nowBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Minnesota
88%
88%
86¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, just now
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Minnesota
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, just nowBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $6K
Boston87%87%85¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, just now87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Boston87%Kalshi 87%polled, just nowBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Boston
87%
87%
85¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, just now
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Boston
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, just nowBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $7K
Denver86%86%84¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, just now86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Denver86%Kalshi 86%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Denver
86%
86%
84¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, just now
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Denver
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, just nowBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denver
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $572
Philadelphia85%85%83¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, just now85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Philadelphia85%Kalshi 85%polled, just nowBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Philadelphia
85%
85%
83¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, just now
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Philadelphia
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, just nowBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $38K
Detroit84%84%82¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, just now84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Detroit84%Kalshi 84%polled, just nowBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Detroit
84%
84%
82¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, just now
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Detroit
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, just nowBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $3K
Houston83%83%83¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, just now87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Houston83%Kalshi 83%polled, just nowBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Houston
83%
83%
83¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, just now
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Houston
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, just nowBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $4K
Cleveland80%80%78¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, just now80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Cleveland80%Kalshi 80%polled, just nowBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Cleveland
80%
80%
78¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, just now
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Cleveland
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, just nowBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $3K
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
Los Angeles L77%77%75¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, just now77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Los Angeles L77%Kalshi 77%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Los Angeles L
77%
77%
75¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, just now
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Los Angeles L
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles L
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $9K
Toronto74%74%74¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, just now80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Toronto74%Kalshi 74%polled, just nowBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Toronto
74%
74%
74¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, just now
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Toronto
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, just nowBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $3K
Indiana71%71%70¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, just now73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Indiana71%Kalshi 71%polled, just nowBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Indiana
71%
71%
70¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, just now
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Indiana
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, just nowBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $5K
Portland70%70%66¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, just now70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Portland70%Kalshi 70%polled, just nowBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Portland
70%
70%
66¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, just now
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Portland
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, just nowBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Portland
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $7K
Miami69%69%69¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, just now70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Miami69%Kalshi 69%polled, just nowBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Miami
69%
69%
69¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, just now
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Miami
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, just nowBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $7K
Atlanta66%66%61¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, just now66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Atlanta66%Kalshi 66%polled, just nowBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Atlanta
66%
66%
61¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, just now
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Atlanta
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, just nowBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $4K
Orlando57%57%57¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, just now59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Orlando57%Kalshi 57%polled, just nowBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Orlando
57%
57%
57¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, just now
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Orlando
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, just nowBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $3K
Phoenix46%46%42¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, just now47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Phoenix46%Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Phoenix
46%
46%
42¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, just now
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Phoenix
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phoenix
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $5K
Utah44%44%43¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, just now45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Utah44%Kalshi 44%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Utah
44%
44%
43¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, just now
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Utah
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Utah
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $29K
Charlotte37%37%34¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, just now38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Charlotte37%Kalshi 37%polled, just nowBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Charlotte
37%
37%
34¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, just now
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Charlotte
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, just nowBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charlotte
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $18K
Washington34%34%33¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, just now35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Washington34%Kalshi 34%polled, just nowBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Washington
34%
34%
33¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, just now
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Washington
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, just nowBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $71K
Golden State33%33%33¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, just now34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Golden State33%Kalshi 33%polled, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Golden State
33%
33%
33¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, just now
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Golden State
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $21K
Dallas32%32%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, just now33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Dallas32%Kalshi 32%polled, just nowBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Dallas
32%
32%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, just now
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Dallas
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, just nowBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $11K
Memphis23%23%23¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, just now25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Memphis23%Kalshi 23%polled, just nowBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Memphis
23%
23%
23¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, just now
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Memphis
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, just nowBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $7K
Los Angeles C22%22%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just now22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Los Angeles C22%Kalshi 22%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Los Angeles C
22%
22%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Los Angeles C
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles C
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $10K
New Orleans18%18%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, just now18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)New Orleans18%Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
New Orleans
18%
18%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, just now
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
New Orleans
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, just nowBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $5K
Milwaukee12%12%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, just now12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Milwaukee12%Kalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Milwaukee
12%
12%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, just now
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Milwaukee
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $11K
Brooklyn10%10%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Brooklyn10%Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Brooklyn
10%
10%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Brooklyn
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brooklyn
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
Chicago9%9%7¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Chicago9%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Chicago
9%
9%
7¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Chicago
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $13K
Sacramento8%8%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Sacramento8%Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Sacramento
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Sacramento
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sacramento
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $12K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Oklahoma City
- San Antonio
- New York
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers". Oklahoma City leads at 98%. Next is San Antonio at 97%. $329K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 1, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli98%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco18%$194.5M traded
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- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia17%$63.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$44.5M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen27%$36.6M traded