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What the markets expect
Atlanta: #10 seed or better 72.5%
Next is Oklahoma City: #2 seed or better at 71.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Atlanta: #10 seed or better72.5%72.5%66¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 3 min ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Atlanta: #10 seed or better72.5%Kalshi 72.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Atlanta: #10 seed or better
72.5%
72.5%
66¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Atlanta: #10 seed or better
72.5%
Kalshi 72.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 72.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Oklahoma City: #2 seed or better71.5%71.5%65¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 3 min ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Oklahoma City: #2 seed or better71.5%Kalshi 71.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Oklahoma City: #2 seed or better
71.5%
71.5%
65¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Oklahoma City: #2 seed or better
71.5%
Kalshi 71.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma City: #2 seed or better
- Last price
- 71.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
Indiana: #8 seed or better70%70%60¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 3 min ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Indiana: #8 seed or better70%Kalshi 70%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Indiana: #8 seed or better
70%
70%
60¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Indiana: #8 seed or better
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana: #8 seed or better
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $9
Orlando: #9 seed or better65.5%65.5%59¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 3 min ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Orlando: #9 seed or better65.5%Kalshi 65.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Orlando: #9 seed or better
65.5%
65.5%
59¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Orlando: #9 seed or better
65.5%
Kalshi 65.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando: #9 seed or better
- Last price
- 65.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
Los Angeles L: #5 seed or better60%60%48¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 3 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Los Angeles L: #5 seed or better60%Kalshi 60%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Los Angeles L: #5 seed or better
60%
60%
48¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Los Angeles L: #5 seed or better
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles L: #5 seed or better
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $2
Portland: #7 seed or better59%59%48¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 3 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Portland: #7 seed or better59%Kalshi 59%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Portland: #7 seed or better
59%
59%
48¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Portland: #7 seed or better
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Portland: #7 seed or better
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $89
Dallas: #10 seed or better56%56%43¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 3 min ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Dallas: #10 seed or better56%Kalshi 56%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Dallas: #10 seed or better
56%
56%
43¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Dallas: #10 seed or better
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $270
San Antonio: #2 seed or better55.5%55.5%49¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 3 min ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)San Antonio: #2 seed or better55.5%Kalshi 55.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
San Antonio: #2 seed or better
55.5%
55.5%
49¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
San Antonio: #2 seed or better
55.5%
Kalshi 55.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Antonio: #2 seed or better
- Last price
- 55.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
Miami: #6 seed or better55%55%42¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 3 min ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Miami: #6 seed or better55%Kalshi 55%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Miami: #6 seed or better
55%
55%
42¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Miami: #6 seed or better
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami: #6 seed or better
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $3
Charlotte: #10 seed or better53.5%53.5%47¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 3 min ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Charlotte: #10 seed or better53.5%Kalshi 53.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Charlotte: #10 seed or better
53.5%
53.5%
47¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Charlotte: #10 seed or better
53.5%
Kalshi 53.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charlotte: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 53.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
Golden State: #10 seed or better52.5%52.5%46¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 3 min ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Golden State: #10 seed or better52.5%Kalshi 52.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Golden State: #10 seed or better
52.5%
52.5%
46¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Golden State: #10 seed or better
52.5%
Kalshi 52.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 52.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
Washington: #10 seed or better52.5%52.5%46¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 3 min ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Washington: #10 seed or better52.5%Kalshi 52.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Washington: #10 seed or better
52.5%
52.5%
46¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Washington: #10 seed or better
52.5%
Kalshi 52.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 52.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
Toronto: #5 seed or better52%52%47¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 3 min ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Toronto: #5 seed or better52%Kalshi 52%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Toronto: #5 seed or better
52%
52%
47¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Toronto: #5 seed or better
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto: #5 seed or better
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $162
Minnesota: #4 seed or better51.5%51.5%45¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 3 min ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Minnesota: #4 seed or better51.5%Kalshi 51.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Minnesota: #4 seed or better
51.5%
51.5%
45¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Minnesota: #4 seed or better
51.5%
Kalshi 51.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota: #4 seed or better
- Last price
- 51.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
Utah: #9 seed or better50%50%45¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 3 min ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Utah: #9 seed or better50%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Utah: #9 seed or better
50%
50%
45¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Utah: #9 seed or better
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Utah: #9 seed or better
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $150
Boston: #3 seed or better49%49%36¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 3 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Boston: #3 seed or better49%Kalshi 49%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Boston: #3 seed or better
49%
49%
36¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Boston: #3 seed or better
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston: #3 seed or better
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $292
Denver: #4 seed or better44%44%31¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 3 min ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Denver: #4 seed or better44%Kalshi 44%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Denver: #4 seed or better
44%
44%
31¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Denver: #4 seed or better
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denver: #4 seed or better
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $107
Memphis: #10 seed or better44%44%39¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 3 min ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Memphis: #10 seed or better44%Kalshi 44%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Memphis: #10 seed or better
44%
44%
39¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Memphis: #10 seed or better
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $144
Cleveland: #4 seed or better43%43%33¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 3 min ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Cleveland: #4 seed or better43%Kalshi 43%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Cleveland: #4 seed or better
43%
43%
33¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Cleveland: #4 seed or better
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland: #4 seed or better
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $112
Detroit: #4 seed or better38.5%38.5%32¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 3 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Detroit: #4 seed or better38.5%Kalshi 38.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Detroit: #4 seed or better
38.5%
38.5%
32¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Detroit: #4 seed or better
38.5%
Kalshi 38.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit: #4 seed or better
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Phoenix: #8 seed or better38.5%38.5%32¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 3 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Phoenix: #8 seed or better38.5%Kalshi 38.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Phoenix: #8 seed or better
38.5%
38.5%
32¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Phoenix: #8 seed or better
38.5%
Kalshi 38.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phoenix: #8 seed or better
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Philadelphia: #2 seed or better35.5%35.5%29¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 3 min ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Philadelphia: #2 seed or better35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Philadelphia: #2 seed or better
35.5%
35.5%
29¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Philadelphia: #2 seed or better
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia: #2 seed or better
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Los Angeles C: #10 seed or better33.5%33.5%27¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 3 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Los Angeles C: #10 seed or better33.5%Kalshi 33.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Los Angeles C: #10 seed or better
33.5%
33.5%
27¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Los Angeles C: #10 seed or better
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles C: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Houston: #3 seed or better32.5%32.5%26¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 3 min ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Houston: #3 seed or better32.5%Kalshi 32.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Houston: #3 seed or better
32.5%
32.5%
26¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Houston: #3 seed or better
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston: #3 seed or better
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
New Orleans: #10 seed or better31.5%31.5%25¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 3 min ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)New Orleans: #10 seed or better31.5%Kalshi 31.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
New Orleans: #10 seed or better
31.5%
31.5%
25¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
New Orleans: #10 seed or better
31.5%
Kalshi 31.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
New York: #2 seed or better28.5%28.5%22¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 3 min ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)New York: #2 seed or better28.5%Kalshi 28.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
New York: #2 seed or better
28.5%
28.5%
22¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
New York: #2 seed or better
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York: #2 seed or better
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Chicago: #10 seed or better21.5%21.5%15¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 3 min ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Chicago: #10 seed or better21.5%Kalshi 21.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Chicago: #10 seed or better
21.5%
21.5%
15¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Chicago: #10 seed or better
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Milwaukee: #10 seed or better15%15%5¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 3 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Milwaukee: #10 seed or better15%Kalshi 15%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Milwaukee: #10 seed or better
15%
15%
5¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Milwaukee: #10 seed or better
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $27
Brooklyn: #10 seed or better10.5%10.5%4¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Brooklyn: #10 seed or better10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Brooklyn: #10 seed or better
10.5%
10.5%
4¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Brooklyn: #10 seed or better
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brooklyn: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Sacramento: #10 seed or better7.5%7.5%1¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Sacramento: #10 seed or better7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Sacramento: #10 seed or better
7.5%
7.5%
1¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Sacramento: #10 seed or better
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sacramento: #10 seed or better
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Atlanta: #10 seed or better
- Oklahoma City: #2 seed or better
- Indiana: #8 seed or better
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Pro Basketball Playoff Seed Over/Unders". Atlanta: #10 seed or better leads at 72.5%. Next is Oklahoma City: #2 seed or better at 71.5%. $1K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 8, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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