The Prediction Markets

Pro Basketball Worst Regular Season Record

Closes
May 31, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$45K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Sacramento 44%

Next is Sacramento Kings at 43%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Sacramento
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sacramento
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacramento Kings
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 43.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $229 (2.29x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacramento Kings
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43.6¢
Sell Yes
42.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$229 (2.29x)
Volume
$379
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Bucks
17.8%
Polymarket 17.8%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 18.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $532 (5.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Bucks
Last price
17.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18.8¢
Sell Yes
16.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$532 (5.32x)
Volume
$735
Trade this on Polymarket
Brooklyn
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brooklyn
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Milwaukee
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Milwaukee
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brooklyn Nets
12.9%
Polymarket 12.9%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 12.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $775 (7.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brooklyn Nets
Last price
12.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.9¢
Sell Yes
12.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$775 (7.75x)
Volume
$478
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Clippers
10.1%
Polymarket 10.1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 19.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $505 (5.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Clippers
Last price
10.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$505 (5.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami Heat
8.9%
Polymarket 8.9%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 17.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $565 (5.65x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Heat
Last price
8.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17.7¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$565 (5.65x)
Trade this on Polymarket
New Orleans Pelicans
8.4%
Polymarket 8.4%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 16.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $602 (6.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Orleans Pelicans
Last price
8.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$602 (6.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Memphis Grizzlies
8.3%
Polymarket 8.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 15.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $641 (6.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Memphis Grizzlies
Last price
8.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$641 (6.41x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 50 more outcomes
Chicago
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles C
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles C
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State Warriors
7.3%
Polymarket 7.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Golden State Warriors
Last price
7.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington Wizards
7.3%
Polymarket 7.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Wizards
Last price
7.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Dallas Mavericks
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 12.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $806 (8.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dallas Mavericks
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$806 (8.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Indiana Pacers
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 12.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $806 (8.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indiana Pacers
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$806 (8.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
New Orleans
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Orleans
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta Hawks
5.8%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlanta Hawks
Last price
5.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Boston Celtics
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boston Celtics
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlotte Hornets
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlotte Hornets
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Cleveland Cavaliers
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Cavaliers
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver Nuggets
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Nuggets
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Detroit Pistons
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Detroit Pistons
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston Rockets
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Rockets
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Lakers
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Lakers
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Minnesota Timberwolves
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minnesota Timberwolves
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
New York Knicks
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Knicks
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Oklahoma City Thunder
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklahoma City Thunder
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Orlando Magic
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orlando Magic
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Philadelphia 76ers
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philadelphia 76ers
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Phoenix Suns
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phoenix Suns
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Portland Trail Blazers
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portland Trail Blazers
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
San Antonio Spurs
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Antonio Spurs
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Toronto Raptors
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toronto Raptors
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dallas
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dallas
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$425
Trade this on Kalshi
Golden State
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Golden State
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Memphis
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Memphis
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah Jazz
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Utah Jazz
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Chicago Bulls
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chicago Bulls
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$595
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Washington
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Boston
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Boston
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Charlotte
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charlotte
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$701
Trade this on Kalshi
Detroit
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Detroit
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Indiana
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indiana
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles L
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles L
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
Oklahoma City
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma City
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Orlando
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Orlando
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoenix
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Portland
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portland
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Denver
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denver
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New York
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
New York
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Philadelphia
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Philadelphia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Antonio
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Toronto
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Toronto
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Sacramento
  • Sacramento Kings
  • Milwaukee Bucks

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Sacramento for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Basketball Worst Regular Season Record". Sacramento leads at 44%. Next is Sacramento Kings at 43%. $45K has traded across 60 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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