The Prediction Markets

Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027

Closes
May 22, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$69.5M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Jeremiah Smith 38%

Next is Drew Mestemaker at 34.8%. The venues differ most on CJ Carr (Polymarket 16%, Kalshi 11%), a 5.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jeremiah Smith
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiah Smith
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$75K
Trade this on Kalshi
Drew Mestemaker
34.8%
Polymarket 31.1%polled, 20s agoKalshi 36%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drew Mestemaker
Last price
31.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37.6¢
Sell Yes
24.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$266 (2.66x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Mestemaker
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$44K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 34¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 37.6¢.

San Francisco 49ers
15.4%
Polymarket 15.4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 15.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $649 (6.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
San Francisco 49ers
Last price
15.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15.4¢
Sell Yes
15.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$649 (6.49x)
Volume
$1.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
CJ Carr
12.3%
Polymarket 16%polled, 20s agoKalshi 11%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
CJ Carr
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
CJ Carr
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 12¢.

Buffalo Bills
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Buffalo Bills
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1.3M
Trade this on Polymarket
Kansas City Chiefs
11.4%
Polymarket 11.4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 11.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $862 (8.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kansas City Chiefs
Last price
11.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.6¢
Sell Yes
11.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$862 (8.62x)
Volume
$1.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Trinidad Chambliss
7.4%
Polymarket 8.6%polled, 20s agoKalshi 7%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trinidad Chambliss
Last price
8.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.2¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$980 (9.80x)
Volume
$444
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Trinidad Chambliss
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$44K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Arch Manning
6.9%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 20s agoKalshi 6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arch Manning
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arch Manning
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$138K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Baltimore Ravens
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Baltimore Ravens
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
6.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Volume
$1.6M
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Rams
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Rams
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1.4M
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 49 more outcomes
Darian Mensah
6.5%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 20s agoKalshi 7%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Darian Mensah
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,064 (10.6x)
Volume
$811
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Darian Mensah
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 9.4¢.

Jacksonville Jaguars
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jacksonville Jaguars
Last price
6.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
5.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$2.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Seattle Seahawks
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Seattle Seahawks
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$1.3M
Trade this on Polymarket
Chicago Bears
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chicago Bears
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
5.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$1.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Byrum Brown
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 10.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Polymarket
Contract
Byrum Brown
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.2¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$980 (9.80x)
Volume
$824
Trade this on Polymarket
Duce Robinson
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Duce Robinson
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Polymarket
Ellis Robinson IV
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ellis Robinson IV
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$799
Trade this on Polymarket
David Stone
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Stone
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$368
Trade this on Polymarket
Brendan Sorsby
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brendan Sorsby
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Polymarket
Cincinnati Bengals
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cincinnati Bengals
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$1.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Minnesota Vikings
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Minnesota Vikings
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
3.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$1.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Denver Broncos
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Denver Broncos
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
3.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$1.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
New England Patriots
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
New England Patriots
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
Detroit Lions
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Detroit Lions
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$1.7M
Trade this on Polymarket
Houston Texans
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Houston Texans
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$2.6M
Trade this on Polymarket
Dante Moore
2.6%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 20s agoKalshi 2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dante Moore
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dante Moore
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$42K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Green Bay Packers
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Green Bay Packers
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$1.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Dallas Cowboys
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dallas Cowboys
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$1.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
Dylan Stewart
2.2%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dylan Stewart
Last price
5.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Dylan Stewart
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Sam Leavitt
2.2%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Leavitt
Last price
5.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Volume
$57
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Leavitt
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Jordan Seaton
2.2%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Seaton
Last price
5.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Seaton
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Austin Simmons
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Austin Simmons
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
LaNorris Sellers
2%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
LaNorris Sellers
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$191
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
LaNorris Sellers
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 3¢.

Julian Sayin
1.8%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Julian Sayin
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Volume
$293
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Julian Sayin
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Leonard Moore
1.4%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Leonard Moore
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$67
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Leonard Moore
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Carolina Panthers
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carolina Panthers
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$4.3M
Trade this on Polymarket
Cam Coleman
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Coleman
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
DJ Lagway
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
DJ Lagway
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jayden Maiava
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jayden Maiava
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lincoln Kienholz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lincoln Kienholz
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$702
Trade this on Kalshi
Nico Iamaleava
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Iamaleava
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Quincy Rhodes Jr.
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quincy Rhodes Jr.
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Williams
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Williams
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlanta Falcons
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlanta Falcons
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$1.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
John Mateer
0.8%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 20s agoKalshi 1%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Mateer
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
John Mateer
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Pittsburgh Steelers
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh Steelers
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$1.6M
Trade this on Polymarket
Cleveland Browns
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cleveland Browns
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$2.4M
Trade this on Polymarket
New York Giants
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Giants
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$1.6M
Trade this on Polymarket
Las Vegas Raiders
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Las Vegas Raiders
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$2.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
Philadelphia Eagles
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Philadelphia Eagles
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$1.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Indianapolis Colts
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Indianapolis Colts
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$1.7M
Trade this on Polymarket
New Orleans Saints
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Orleans Saints
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$2.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Washington Commanders
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Washington Commanders
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$1.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$4.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
Arizona Cardinals
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arizona Cardinals
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Los Angeles Chargers
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Los Angeles Chargers
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$5.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
Miami Dolphins
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Dolphins
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
New York Jets
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
New York Jets
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2.9M
Trade this on Polymarket
Tennessee Titans
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tennessee Titans
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2.0M
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Apr 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and May 22, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nfl.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Apr 1, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and May 22, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jeremiah Smith
  • Drew Mestemaker
  • San Francisco 49ers

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Jeremiah Smith for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027". Jeremiah Smith leads at 38%. Next is Drew Mestemaker at 34.8%. $69.5M has traded across 59 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by May 22, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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