The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: 10+ Rushing Touchdowns Season

Closes
Feb 2, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$87K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Lamar Jackson 69.5%

Next is 3.5+ rushing TDs at 62%. The venues differ most on Kenneth Walker III (Polymarket 4.6%, Kalshi 80%), a 75-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Lamar Jackson
69.5%
Polymarket 47%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 92%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lamar Jackson
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$755
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 98¢.

3.5+ rushing TDs
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.5+ rushing TDs
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$704
Trade this on Polymarket
Saquon BarkleyArb
60.6%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 96%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$363
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$182
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$952
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 0.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1¢ nets 30 bps before fees.

Kenneth Walker III
60.4%
Polymarket 14.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 74%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 83%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $595 (5.95x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
14.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16.8¢
Sell Yes
12.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$595 (5.95x)
Volume
$873
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$319
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 55¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 98¢.

Kenneth Walker III
58%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 80%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$338
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$824
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8.9¢.

Javonte Williams
57.4%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 54.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 87%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$284
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$925
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.2¢.

Kyren WilliamsArb
53.8%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 76.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 68%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 4.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 20¢ nets 1510 bps before fees.

James Cook
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Cook
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$298
Trade this on Polymarket
Cam Skattebo
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cameron Skattebo
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Aaron Jones Sr.
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Jones Sr.
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 56 more outcomes
Eli Heidenreich
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eli Heidenreich
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Fernando Mendoza
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fernando Mendoza
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Isiah Pacheco
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Isiah Pacheco
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jonah Coleman
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jonah Coleman
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kaelon Black
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kaelon Black
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenneth Gainwell
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Gainwell
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyle Monangai
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyle Monangai
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mike Washington Jr.
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Washington Jr.
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Woody Marks
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Woody Marks
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jahmyr Gibbs
48.8%
Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 50.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 89%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
50.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$492
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$462
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 26¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 98¢.

Derrick Henry
48.4%
Polymarket 19%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 92%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$956
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 22¢.

Jonathan Taylor
47.4%
Polymarket 8.4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 88%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
8.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$361
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$958
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 12¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 16¢.

Josh Allen
47.3%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 98%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$739
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 12¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 98¢.

Christian McCaffrey
45.5%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 66%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 46%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$454
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$569
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6.6¢.

Bijan RobinsonArb
43.6%
Polymarket 7.3%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 46.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 61%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
7.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Volume
$432
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$983
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 14.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 47¢ nets 3250 bps before fees.

Jadarian Price
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jadarian Price
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$726
Trade this on Kalshi
5.5+ rushing TDs
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
5.5+ rushing TDs
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tony Pollard
31.8%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tony Pollard
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tony Pollard
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$928
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 17¢.

Rhamondre Stevenson
31%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 13%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rhamondre Stevenson
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rhamondre Stevenson
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$272
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13¢.

Alvin Kamara
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alvin Kamara
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Kalshi
Bhayshul Tuten
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bhayshul Tuten
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$440
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Kalshi
TreVeyon Henderson
26.7%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 17%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
TreVeyon Henderson
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
TreVeyon Henderson
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$410
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
TreVeyon Henderson
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$309
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 93¢.

Chuba HubbardArb
26.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 57%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chuba Hubbard
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$141
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chuba Hubbard
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 250 bps before fees.

Ashton JeantyArb
25.6%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 54.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 22%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 7.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 8¢ nets 40 bps before fees.

7.5+ rushing TDs
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $246 (2.46x)
Polymarket
Contract
7.5+ rushing TDs
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40.7¢
Sell Yes
10.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$246 (2.46x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyler Murray
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$264
Trade this on Kalshi
Jonathon Brooks
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathon Brooks
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Travis Etienne Jr.
19.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 26%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Travis Etienne Jr.
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Etienne Jr.
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$920
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.2¢.

Cam Skattebo
19.5%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cam Skattebo
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Skattebo
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5.6¢.

Jeremiyah Love
19.3%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 44.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$405
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$257
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 16¢.

Blake Corum
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Blake Corum
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$398
Trade this on Kalshi
Breece Hall
18%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 14%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$241
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$239
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 98¢.

Chase BrownArb
17.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 21%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$841
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 16¢ nets 1500 bps before fees.

Omarion HamptonArb
16.4%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 33%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$323
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$486
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 16¢ nets 1510 bps before fees.

D'Andre Swift
15.4%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
D'Andre Swift
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Volume
$696
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
D'Andre Swift
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$90
Trade this on Polymarket
9.5+ rushing TDs
15.3%
Polymarket 15.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $457 (4.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ rushing TDs
Last price
15.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21.9¢
Sell Yes
8.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$457 (4.57x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Quinshon Judkins
13.1%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 49.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Quinshon Judkins
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Quinshon Judkins
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Quinshon Judkins
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.4¢.

Drake Maye
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake Maye
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Jones
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Jones
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$194
Trade this on Kalshi
Bucky Irving
9.6%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bucky Irving
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bucky Irving
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$143
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Jaxson Dart
9%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$185
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxson Dart
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 79¢.

Jaylen Warren
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaylen Warren
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Zach CharbonnetArb
7.5%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 22%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zach Charbonnet
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$794
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Zach Charbonnet
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 0.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1¢ nets 60 bps before fees.

David Montgomery
7.5%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 25%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Montgomery
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
David Montgomery
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$173
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
David Montgomery
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.5¢.

Tyler Allgeier
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Allgeier
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$298
Trade this on Kalshi
De'Von Achane
5.6%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 8%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$175
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$533
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.

Jalen Hurts
4.5%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$194
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Hurts
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$701
Trade this on Polymarket
11.5+ rushing TDs
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ rushing TDs
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$586
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Jacobs
2.2%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 97¢.

James Connor
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Connor
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
J.K. Dobbins
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
J.K. Dobbins
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$215
Trade this on Polymarket
RJ Harvey
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
RJ Harvey
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$92
Trade this on Kalshi
Joe Mixon
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Joe Mixon
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$155
Trade this on Polymarket
Kimani Vidal
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kimani Vidal
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Rico Dowdle
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rico Dowdle
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$240
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Bijan Robinson on Polymarket at 14.5¢, sell on Kalshi at 47¢ (3250 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 12, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 12, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Lamar Jackson
  • 3.5+ rushing TDs
  • Saquon Barkley

Live prices for Lamar Jackson

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: 10+ Rushing Touchdowns Season". Lamar Jackson leads at 69.5%. Next is 3.5+ rushing TDs at 62%. $87K has traded across 66 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 2, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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