The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: 1000+ Rushing Yards Season

Closes
Feb 2, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$159K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

274.5+ rushing yards 95.5%

Next is Kenneth Walker III at 89.9%. The venues differ most on Bucky Irving (Polymarket 68.5%, Kalshi 54%), a 15-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
274.5+ rushing yards
95.5%
Polymarket 95.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 97.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
274.5+ rushing yards
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.7¢
Sell Yes
93.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$788
Trade this on Polymarket
Kenneth Walker III
89.9%
Polymarket 89.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 90%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Walker III
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 89¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 90¢.

474.5+ rushing yards
88%
Polymarket 88%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
474.5+ rushing yards
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kenneth Walker III
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
James Cook III
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chuba Hubbard
75%
Polymarket 75%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chuba Hubbard
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
674.5+ rushing yards
72.5%
Polymarket 72.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
674.5+ rushing yards
Last price
72.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
72¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Derrick HenryArb
69.5%
Polymarket 87.4%polled, 55s agoPolymarket 9.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 92%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
87.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
85.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$317
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$739
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Derrick Henry
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 10¢ and selling on Kalshi at 53¢ nets 4300 bps before fees.

Jaylen Warren
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaylen Warren
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$593
Trade this on Polymarket
Bucky Irving
59%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 54%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bucky Irving
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bucky Irving
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 68¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 78¢.

Jonathan TaylorArb
58.8%
Polymarket 88%polled, 55s agoPolymarket 6.9%polled, 55s agoKalshi 85%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$800
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
6.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
5.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$875
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jonathan Taylor
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$847
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 8.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 80¢ nets 7160 bps before fees.

Show 31 more outcomes
D'Andre Swift
58%
Polymarket 58%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
D'Andre Swift
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
James Cook
58%
Polymarket 88%polled, 55s agoPolymarket 18.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Cook
Last price
88%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
James Cook
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$857
Trade this on Polymarket
Bijan RobinsonArb
55.4%
Polymarket 84.5%polled, 55s agoPolymarket 23%polled, 55s agoKalshi 77%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 23.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $420 (4.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
84.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23.8¢
Sell Yes
22.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$420 (4.20x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bijan Robinson
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 23.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 44¢ nets 2020 bps before fees.

Aaron Jones
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aaron Jones
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jahmyr GibbsArb
45.9%
Polymarket 87.5%polled, 55s agoPolymarket 12.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 71%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
87.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$350
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 15¢ and selling on Kalshi at 71¢ nets 5600 bps before fees.

874.5+ rushing yards
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
874.5+ rushing yards
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyren WilliamsArb
43.2%
Polymarket 61%polled, 55s agoPolymarket 3.8%polled, 55s agoKalshi 47%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$421
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$609
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 5.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 47¢ nets 4120 bps before fees.

Javonte WilliamsArb
43%
Polymarket 54%polled, 55s agoPolymarket 3.1%polled, 55s agoKalshi 59%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Javonte Williams
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 49¢ nets 4590 bps before fees.

Christian McCaffreyArb
42.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 55s agoPolymarket 6.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 59%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 12.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $820 (8.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.2¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$820 (8.20x)
Volume
$382
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Christian McCaffrey
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 12.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 43¢ nets 3080 bps before fees.

Tony Pollard
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tony Pollard
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Chase Brown
32.8%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 30%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Brown
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 30¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 36¢.

Ashton Jeanty
30.6%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 32%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ashton Jeanty
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 25¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 32¢.

1,074.5+ rushing yards
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,074.5+ rushing yards
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Quinshon Judkins
20.8%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 25%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Quinshon Judkins
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$991
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Quinshon Judkins
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 12¢.

Omarion Hampton
18.2%
Polymarket 16%polled, 55s agoKalshi 19%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Omarion Hampton
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 13¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 19¢.

Jeremiyah Love
16.6%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 17%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jeremiyah Love
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 22¢.

Cameron Skattebo
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cam Skattebo
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Saquon BarkleyArb
14.9%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 55s agoPolymarket 3%polled, 55s agoKalshi 17%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$991
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Saquon Barkley
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 17¢ nets 1400 bps before fees.

Cameron Skattebo
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cameron Skattebo
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rhamondre Stevenson
12.3%
Polymarket 12.3%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rhamondre Stevenson
Last price
12.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
9.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$632
Trade this on Polymarket
David Montgomery
10.3%
Polymarket 5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 12%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Montgomery
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
David Montgomery
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6.5¢.

Breece Hall
9.3%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 2%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$914
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$893
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.

Kenneth Gainwell
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kenneth Gainwell
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Jacobs
6.9%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 55s agoPolymarket 5.5%polled, 55s agoKalshi 12%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.8¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,136 (11.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$962 (9.62x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Jacobs
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$394
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8.8¢.

Rachaad White
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rachaad White
Last price
6.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Polymarket
Jadarian Price
4.1%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 55s agoKalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jadarian Price
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$693
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jadarian Price
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Josh Allen
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Allen
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$674
Trade this on Kalshi
TreVeyon Henderson
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
TreVeyon Henderson
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rico Dowdle
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rico Dowdle
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
De'Von Achane
2%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 55s agoPolymarket 1.9%polled, 55s agoKalshi 1%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$788
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2.7¢.

Travis Etienne Jr.
1.5%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 55s agoKalshi 1%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Travis Etienne Jr.
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$304
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Etienne Jr.
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.6¢.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Jonathan Taylor on Polymarket at 8.4¢, sell on Kalshi at 80¢ (7160 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 274.5+ rushing yards
  • Kenneth Walker III
  • 474.5+ rushing yards

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 274.5+ rushing yards for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: 1000+ Rushing Yards Season". 274.5+ rushing yards leads at 95.5%. Next is Kenneth Walker III at 89.9%. $159K has traded across 41 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 2, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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