The Prediction Markets

Pro Football: 12+ Receiving Touchdowns Season

Closes
Feb 2, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$66K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

3.5+ receiving TDs 82.5%

Next is Amon-Ra St. Brown at 74.4%. The venues differ most on Jaylen Waddle (Polymarket 8.5%, Kalshi 40.5%), a 32-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
3.5+ receiving TDs
82.5%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Amon-Ra St. Brown
74.4%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 73%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$566
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$836
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 76¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaArb
74.2%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Last price
86.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$375
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$642
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 67¢ and selling on Polymarket at 77¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.

4.5+ receiving TDs
71%
Polymarket 71%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
4.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Polymarket
2.5+ receiving TDs
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
CeeDee Lamb
65.5%
Polymarket 74%polled, 56s agoKalshi 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
CeeDee Lamb
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$571
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
CeeDee Lamb
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 58¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 78¢.

Christian Watson
64%
Polymarket 64%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christian Watson
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
6.5+ receiving TDs
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
6.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$450
Trade this on Polymarket
Ja'Marr Chase
48.3%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ja'Marr Chase
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$458
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ja'Marr Chase
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$719
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 23¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 45¢.

5.5+ receiving TDs
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
5.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 41 more outcomes
Rashee Rice
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rashee Rice
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
George Kittle
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Kittle
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$583
Trade this on Polymarket
Nico Collins
36.3%
Polymarket 42%polled, 56s agoKalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nico Collins
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Collins
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 34¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

Brock Bowers
30.8%
Polymarket 32%polled, 56s agoKalshi 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brock Bowers
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Brock Bowers
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$514
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 29¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 39¢.

Mike Evans
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Evans
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
10.5+ receiving TDs
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
10.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jameson Williams
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jameson Williams
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Jefferson
28%
Polymarket 29%polled, 56s agoKalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$987
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 39¢.

7.5+ receiving TDs
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
7.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$630
Trade this on Polymarket
Tee Higgins
25.6%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tee Higgins
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tee Higgins
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 25¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 82¢.

Emeka Egbuka
25.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Emeka Egbuka
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$259
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Emeka Egbuka
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 12¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

DeVonta Smith
25.5%
Polymarket 10.4%polled, 56s agoKalshi 40.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
DeVonta Smith
Last price
10.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.5¢
Sell Yes
8.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$800 (8.00x)
Volume
$944
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
DeVonta Smith
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 8.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 81¢.

Jaylen Waddle
24.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 40.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaylen Waddle
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$320
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jaylen Waddle
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 81¢.

9.5+ receiving TDs
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
9.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Garrett Wilson
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Garrett Wilson
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Zay Flowers
23.8%
Polymarket 25.7%polled, 56s agoKalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zay Flowers
Last price
25.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35.2¢
Sell Yes
16.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$284 (2.84x)
Volume
$950
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Zay Flowers
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$213
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 16.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 21¢.

8.5+ receiving TDs
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
8.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$423
Trade this on Polymarket
Tetairoa McMillan
23.4%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tetairoa McMillan
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tetairoa McMillan
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$65
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 21¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

Chris OlaveArb
22.2%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Olave
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$267
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Olave
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 9¢ and selling on Polymarket at 28¢ nets 1900 bps before fees.

George Pickens
22%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Pickens
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
George Pickens
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

Puka Nacua
20.7%
Polymarket 21%polled, 56s agoKalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Puka Nacua
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Puka Nacua
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 17¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 20¢.

Rome Odunze
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rome Odunze
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$334
Trade this on Polymarket
A.J. Brown
17.9%
Polymarket 29.4%polled, 56s agoKalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $190 (1.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
A.J. Brown
Last price
29.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52.6¢
Sell Yes
6.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$190 (1.90x)
Volume
$203
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
A.J. Brown
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 52.6¢.

Tyler Warren
16.1%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler Warren
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$767
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler Warren
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 15¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 82¢.

Malik NabersArb
16%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malik Nabers
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Nabers
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 11¢ and selling on Polymarket at 17¢ nets 600 bps before fees.

Carnell Tate
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carnell Tate
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$107
Trade this on Kalshi
DJ Moore
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
DJ Moore
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Trey McBride
11.8%
Polymarket 13%polled, 56s agoKalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trey McBride
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Trey McBride
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 34¢.

Drake London
10.8%
Polymarket 11%polled, 56s agoKalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake London
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$382
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Drake London
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

DK Metcalf
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
DK Metcalf
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Polymarket
Marvin Harrison Jr.
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Polymarket
Ladd McConkey
7.5%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 56s agoKalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ladd McConkey
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$617
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ladd McConkey
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$159
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 85¢.

Mark Andrews
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Andrews
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$221
Trade this on Polymarket
Colston Loveland
7.1%
Polymarket 10.2%polled, 56s agoKalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $763 (7.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Colston Loveland
Last price
10.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.1¢
Sell Yes
7.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$763 (7.63x)
Volume
$472
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Colston Loveland
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13.1¢.

Davante Adams
6.8%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 56s agoKalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Davante Adams
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$896
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Davante Adams
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$558
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 10¢.

Jahmyr Gibbs
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jahmyr Gibbs
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$73
Trade this on Polymarket
Courtland Sutton
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Courtland Sutton
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
11.5+ receiving TDs
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
11.5+ receiving TDs
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
De'Von Achane
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyren Williams
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyren Williams
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$422
Trade this on Polymarket
Terry McLaurin
2.3%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 56s agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Terry McLaurin
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Terry McLaurin
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Chris Olave on Kalshi at 9¢, sell on Polymarket at 28¢ (1900 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Feb 2, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 3.5+ receiving TDs
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 3.5+ receiving TDs for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Pro Football: 12+ Receiving Touchdowns Season". 3.5+ receiving TDs leads at 82.5%. Next is Amon-Ra St. Brown at 74.4%. $66K has traded across 51 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 2, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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